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AbstractMost sand production prediction models to date have the capability to indicate whether initial sand production may take place during the lifetime of a reservoir but they are unable to predict whether the sand production will be 'problematic' (excessive erosion, plugging, well sand-up, separator fill, etc.), particularly for systems that have some tolerance towards sand production. In order to predict whether sand production will be 'problematic', it is important to estimate sand volumes / rates as a function of bottom-hole load conditions, drawdown, time, etc. This paper presents a model to predict sand volumes / rates for any type of clastic oil or gas reservoir. This model captures both the geomechanical aspects (rock deformation and failure) and the transport aspects (e.g. role of drawdown and watercut) of the sand production problem. It was extensively validated comparing predicted sand volumes and rates with field observations for a variety of oil and gas fields under various stages of depletion. For all these cases, the model predictions and field observations are in reasonable to good agreement. The main focus of the current paper is the discussion of beanup procedures, i.e. the question is addressed as to whether an appropriate bean-up strategy (e.g. small bean-up steps) may reduce the cumulative volume of produced sand. We show that for wells without sand control, the cumulative amount of sand produced to surface is independent of bean-up procedure. If a large sand production volume is expected in such a well, beaning it up in small steps not only increases the risk of sand-up in itself, but also the risk of repeated sand-ups before the well can finally be produced. By contrast, for wells with sand control, the risk of plugging by fines mobilization is reduced by beaning up in small steps. P.J. van den Hoek, SPE, and M.B. Geilikman, SPE, Shell Intl. E&P B.V.
Impact of watercut.As was demonstrated by laboratory tests in, for example, 6,15 , watercut destroys capillary cohesion resulting in a lower strength UCS p of the failed (plastic) zone around the hole. Consequently, water breakthrough will result in a burst of sand production until the cavity has re-stabilized. This was confirmed by a careful analysis of field data from the North Sea 15 , which showed that water breakthrough only resulted in sand bursts for those cases where (some) sand production had already been observed before.Sand produced into the wellbore. In the calculations, all sand produced into the wellbore is tracked until it reaches surface, after which sand production at surface starts.
Sand lift model.A detailed sand lift model has not (yet) been included. Therefore, all sand that has been produced into the wellbore is assumed to be transported to surface at the fluid flow velocity.
Sand-up.Sand-up is assumed to be only possible if the total weight of the sand-fluid mixture in the wellbore is heavy enough to kill the well. After well kill, the sand produced into the wellbore (but not t...