Effect of climate change on distribution of species of common horned frogs in South America

Vieira, Kleber Silva; Montenegro, Paulo Fernando Guedes Pereira; Santana, Gindomar Gomes; Vieira, Washington Luiz Silva

doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0202813

Cited by 18 publications

(9 citation statements)

References 53 publications

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“…Compared with other studies, where analyses were limited to the effects of climate change on the potential geographical distribution of species in terms of bioclimatic variables [ 77 – 79 ], the novelty of this study lies in the comprehensive consideration of climate, soil, and topographic variables of the potential geographical distribution pattern of B . platyphylla .…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Prediction of the potential geographical distribution of Betula platyphylla Suk. in China under climate change scenarios

Geng

Sun

et al. 2022

PLoS ONE

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Climate is a dominant factor affecting the potential geographical distribution of species. Understanding the impact of climate change on the potential geographic distribution of species, which is of great significance to the exploitation, utilization, and protection of resources, as well as ecologically sustainable development. Betula platyphylla Suk. is one of the most widely distributed temperate deciduous tree species in East Asia and has important economic and ecological value. Based on 231 species distribution data points of Betula platyphylla Suk. in China and 37 bioclimatic, soil, and topography variables (with correlation coefficients < 0.75), the potential geographical distribution pattern of Betula platyphylla Suk. under Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) climate change scenarios at present and in the 2050s and 2070s was predicted using the MaxEnt model. We analyzed the main environmental variables affecting the distribution and change of suitable areas and compared the scope and change of suitable areas under different climate scenarios. This study found: (1) At present, the main suitable area for Betula platyphylla Suk. extends from northeastern to southwestern China, with the periphery area showing fragmented distribution. (2) Annual precipitation, precipitation of the warmest quarter, mean temperature of the warmest quarter, annual mean temperature, and precipitation of the driest month are the dominant environmental variables that affect the potential geographical distribution of Betula platyphylla Suk. (3) The suitable area for Betula platyphylla Suk. is expected to expand under global warming scenarios. In recent years, due to the impact of diseases and insect infestation, and environmental damage, the natural Betula platyphylla Suk. forest in China has gradually narrowed. This study accurately predicted the potential geographical distribution of Betula platyphylla Suk. under current and future climate change scenarios, which can provide the scientific basis for the cultivation, management, and sustainable utilization of Betula platyphylla Suk. resources.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Prediction of the potential geographical distribution of Betula platyphylla Suk. in China under climate change scenarios

Geng

Sun

et al. 2022

PLoS ONE

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“…Warmer temperatures hinder the economic exploitation of the coffee plant by disrupting metabolic and absorption processes in shoots and leaves, resulting in imitative plant growth performance (Sanquetta et al, 2011). It hastens evaporation, decreases soil moisture, and halts CO2 fertilization and photosynthetic activity (Vieira et al, 2018).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Impacts of extreme agroclimatic indicators on the performance of coffee (Coffea arabica L.) aboveground biomass in Jimma Zone, Ethiopia

Benti

Diga

Feyisa

et al. 2022

Heliyon

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“…Presence only data is more accurate than presence or absence data for ecological niche modeling (Pearce & Ferrier, 2000). Ecological niche modeling predicts the suitable habitats of the species across a landscape and is routinely used in conservation planning and biodiversity inventories for the elaboration of conservation strategies (Kremen et al, 2008; Vieira, Montenegro, Santana, & Vieira, 2018). GARP and Maxent were the most widely used models to determine species distribution through ecological niche modeling out of the six predictive algorithms viz., Maxent, BioMapper, DOMAIN, FloraMap, the genetic algorithm GARP and weights of evidence (Ortega‐Huerta & Peterson, 2008).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Ecological niche modeling for assessing potential distribution ofPterocarpus marsupiumRoxb. In Ranchi, eastern India

Kumar

Adhikari

et al. 2020

Ecological Research

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The present study was conducted to predict the current and future potential distribution of a tree species Pterocarpus marsupium Roxb. in Ranchi, Eastern India using ecological niche modeling. Nine environmental variables comprising of isothermality, precipitation of wettest and warmest quarter, annual temperature range, soil type, human influence index, elevation, slope and land use cover were used to model the distribution of the species. Climatic variables governed the predicted distribution of the species as they contributed 56.7% as compared to the other nonclimatic variables (43.3%). Northern parts exhibited the most suitable niche of the species as compared to southeast and central parts that showed low probability of occurrence due to high disturbances caused by rapid urbanization as well as over exploitation of the species for timber, edible and medicinal uses. The average test area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) (0.921) as well as the partial AUC indicated good model performance. The projected change scenarios of RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP6.0 for the year 2050 reveal that the climatically suitable areas will be drastically reduced in Ranchi. The population of the species is declining due to its exploitation from natural habitats for timber and medicinal uses and is listed as nearthreatened by the current IUCN-Red lists. The findings of this paper will help to identify the potential habitats for further conservation of this nearthreatened species in the changing climatic conditions and increasing anthropogenic pressure.

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Effect of climate change on distribution of species of common horned frogs in South America

Cited by 18 publications

References 53 publications

Prediction of the potential geographical distribution of Betula platyphylla Suk. in China under climate change scenarios

Prediction of the potential geographical distribution of Betula platyphylla Suk. in China under climate change scenarios

Impacts of extreme agroclimatic indicators on the performance of coffee (Coffea arabica L.) aboveground biomass in Jimma Zone, Ethiopia

Ecological niche modeling for assessing potential distribution ofPterocarpus marsupiumRoxb. In Ranchi, eastern India

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