Education and fertility decline in China during transitional times: A cohort approach

Piotrowski, Martin; Tong, Yuying

doi:10.1016/j.ssresearch.2015.10.001

Cited by 29 publications

(30 citation statements)

References 41 publications

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“…Education is one of the most established socioeconomic determinants of reproductive behaviour (Testa, 2014) and is usually inversely associated with fertility intentions (Piotrowski & Tong, 2016). Highly educated individuals tend to substitute child quantity with childrearing quality (Becker & Lewis, 1973).…”

Section: Educationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Fertility intentions of having a second child among the floating population in China: Effects of socioeconomic factors and home ownership

Zhou

Guo

2019

Population Space and Place

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The adoption of the universal two‐child policy in late 2015, replacing the one‐child policy, signals a dramatic shift in China's fertility policy. The 2016 China Migrants Dynamic Survey provides a nationally representative dataset that enables us to reveal, for the first time, the socioeconomic correlates of fertility intentions of having a second child among China's large migrant population. Using a multilevel analytical framework, we find that male, younger, and more affluent migrants, those from minority ethnic groups, individuals migrating from rural areas, those whose first child is a girl, those at 5 years after having the first child, and migrants living in economically less developed cities are more likely to express the intention to have a second child. Moreover, our study establishes a correlation between home ownership and fertility intentions. Migrants who own their own home in the destination city express lower intentions to have a second child, compared with those who are renting. We suggest a proposition about this counterintuitive relationship between home ownership and lower fertility intentions: home ownership and childbearing compete for the limited financial resources of migrants who are socioeconomically disadvantaged in China.

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Section: Educationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Fertility intentions of having a second child among the floating population in China: Effects of socioeconomic factors and home ownership

Zhou

Guo

2019

Population Space and Place

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“…Sporadic empirical findings show that women's education has a negative effect on fertility in China (Feeney et al 1989;Lavely and Freedman 1990;Piotrowski and Tong 2016;Tian 2018). Some studies report that the impact of education on fertility declined substantially with the enactment of China's birth control policy (Lavely and Freedman 1990;Whyte and Parish 1984).…”

Section: The Education-fertility Link In Chinamentioning

confidence: 99%

The educational differential in fertility in transitional China: Temporal and regional variation

Niu¹,

Qi²

2020

DemRes

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BACKGROUND Education expansion has contributed significantly to fertility decline during the worldwide fertility transition. Yet, it is less clear whether the educational gradient in fertility remains stable and persists in the post-transition era. In light of the rapid education expansion in many low-fertility countries, the education-fertility nexus becomes increasingly relevant to demographic and socioeconomic prospects. OBJECTIVE In this study we investigate the education-fertility relationship in China by focusing on its robustness in different socio-institutional contexts both during and after the demographic transition. METHODS We use the cohort parity progression ratios (PPRs) to unveil women's reproduction progress over the life course. The PPRs are estimated for each educational group, jointly classified by cohort, period, place of residence, and province, using China's census and mini-census data between 1982 and 2015. We fit multilevel models to investigate the education-fertility relationship and to explore its temporal and contextual variation. RESULTS We find strong empirical support for a negative association between women's education and each of the successive PPRs in China, both during and after the course of fertility transition. Nevertheless, the strength of the relationship changes over time, particularly for second and higher order births. The education-fertility link also varies profoundly by contextual features. Niu & Qi: The educational differential in fertility in transitional China 658 http://www.demographic-research.org CONTRIBUTION This study extends the literature by exploring the potential dynamics and structural variation of the education-fertility link from demographically transitional to posttransition China. The results provide a panoramic picture of fertility change in China, and insights that lead to a better understanding of world population prospects in the post-transition era.

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“…These projections can be used to assess the effect of future increases in educational attainment on fertility. Recent literature has analyzed fertility in relation to education using statistical models (Lan andKuang 2016, Piotrowski andTong 2016). However, because the large increase in higher education is a very recent development, it may be too early to draw conclusions about its effect on future fertility trends.…”

Section: The Fertility Decline Since 1970 and The Role Of Fertilitmentioning

confidence: 99%

Population Aging and Its Economic Consequences for the People’s Republic of China

Lee

2019

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The views expressed in this publication are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views and policies of the Asian Development Bank (ADB) or its Board of Governors or the governments they represent. ADB does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this publication and accepts no responsibility for any consequence of their use. The mention of specific companies or products of manufacturers does not imply that they are endorsed or recommended by ADB in preference to others of a similar nature that are not mentioned. By making any designation of or reference to a particular territory or geographic area, or by using the term "country" in this document, ADB does not intend to make any judgments as to the legal or other status of any territory or area.

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Education and fertility decline in China during transitional times: A cohort approach

Cited by 29 publications

References 41 publications

Fertility intentions of having a second child among the floating population in China: Effects of socioeconomic factors and home ownership

Fertility intentions of having a second child among the floating population in China: Effects of socioeconomic factors and home ownership

The educational differential in fertility in transitional China: Temporal and regional variation

Population Aging and Its Economic Consequences for the People’s Republic of China

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