Economy-wide rebound makes UK’s electric car subsidy fall short of expectations

Vivanco, David Font; Nechifor, Victor; Calzadilla, Alvaro

doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2021.117138

Cited by 9 publications

(4 citation statements)

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“…For example, Vivanco et al. (2021) calculated a macroeconomic rebound in absolute terms for climate change from the introduction of governmental subsidy on electric cars in the United Kingdom, which offered a clearer idea of its impact toward broader goals such as achieving carbon neutrality in the United Kingdom by 2050 (CCC, 2019). Similarly, Vivanco et al.…”

Section: Review Results: the Rebound Effect In The Context Of Sustain...mentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Regarding scalability, most studies focus on short‐term rebound analysis by calibrating models using historical and/or average data, such as input–output relationships and survey data. Medium‐term analyses can be found in those studies applying consequential LCA (e.g., Thiesen et al., 2008; Whitefoot et al., 2011) and macroeconomic forecasting (e.g., Barker et al., 2007; Vivanco et al., 2021). Long‐term analyses deal with the so‐called transformational effects (Greening et al., 2000; Polimeni et al., 2008), namely the consequences beyond cause–effect relationships between supply and demand, by describing changes in actors’ preferences and the availability and cost of technologies from the cumulative build‐up of stocks and structures.…”

Section: Review Results: the Rebound Effect In The Context Of Sustain...mentioning

confidence: 99%

“…For example, some studies using macroeconomic models have been labeled as not being fully transparent, and sensitivity and uncertainty analyses are rarely conducted to test underlying assumptions and data inputs (Dimitropoulos, 2007; Sorrell, 2007). Multiple modeling approaches are sometimes used simultaneously (e.g., Salemdeeb et al., 2017; Vivanco et al., 2021), although this feature is relatively rare.…”

Section: Review Results: the Rebound Effect In The Context Of Sustain...mentioning

confidence: 99%

“…By disregarding the policy landscape, rebound estimates may overlook key aspects related to capital costs, finance, and broader macroeconomic dynamic adjustments. Some of such aspects can be included in existing macroeconomic models (e.g., computable general equilibrium models) by generating appropriate shocks (Vivanco et al., 2021), while others, such as modeling financial markets, require approaches which have not been used extensively for rebound analysis, such as post‐Keynesian models (Barker et al., 2009; Godley & Lavoie, 2016).…”

Section: Discussion: Current Knowledge Gaps and Research Agendamentioning

confidence: 99%

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Rebound effect and sustainability science: A review

Vivanco

Galvin

Santarius

et al. 2022

J of Industrial Ecology

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Rebound effects have been historically studied through narrow framings which may overlook the complexity of sustainability challenges, sometimes leading to badly informed conclusions and policy recommendations. Here we present a critical literature review of rebound effects in the context of sustainability science in order to (1) map existing rebound research which goes beyond mainstream approaches, (2) unveil and classify current knowledge gaps in relation to sustainability science, (3) outline a research agenda, and (4) provide a knowledge base to support the design of effective policies toward sustainable development. We analyzed the literature in accordance with seven criteria for sustainable assessment: boundary orientedness, comprehensiveness, integratedness, stakeholder involvement, scalability, strategicness, and transparency. Our review identified three main issues: (1) the failure to address the multidimensionality of rebound effects, whereby both negative and positive outcomes may arise simultaneously, (2) the shift toward absolute rebound metrics which enables the contextualization of its effect with respect to science and policy goals, and (3) a general lack of attention to behavioral effects. We conclude that addressing these issues will help rebound research gain explanatory power and relevance for key decision‐makers. We envision that with better alignment with sustainability science, future rebound research could help elucidate trade‐offs in policies, including why certain strategies such as those based on the circular economy might fall short of expectations, and why achieving key goals and targets such as the sustainable development goals is so challenging. This knowledge is crucial for promoting a prioritization of actions and a concrete transition toward sustainability.

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Section: Review Results: the Rebound Effect In The Context Of Sustain...mentioning

confidence: 99%