Economic and distributional impacts of climate change: The case of Ethiopia

Mideksa, Torben K.

doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2009.11.007

Cited by 67 publications

(30 citation statements)

References 36 publications

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“…Even if they do use future socioeconomic scenarios, studies typically adopt simple rules such as constant income distributions, or poverty levels indexed to GDP 10,19 . A patchwork of national studies that uses a more complete accounting of income and/or consumption impacts 51,56,[72][73][74] exists, but differences in measures and approaches makes it difficult to draw broader conclusions or comparisons. Moreover, climate change can affect households in different ways, through shifts in sectoral employment, through price changes of essential goods or through the destruction of assets.…”

Section: State Of the Artmentioning

confidence: 99%

Improving poverty and inequality modelling in climate research

et al. 2017

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Section: State Of the Artmentioning

confidence: 99%

Improving poverty and inequality modelling in climate research

et al. 2017

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“…Mideksa [14] pointed out that climate change may hit economic development hard in two ways. Firstly, it will reduce agricultural production and output in the sectors linked to agriculture, which is likely to reduce the GDP of Ethiopia by about 10% from its benchmark level.…”

Section: Yearmentioning

confidence: 99%

Land Use and Land Cover Change in the Bale Mountain Eco-Region of Ethiopia during 1985 to 2015

Hailemariam

Soromessa

Teketay

2016

Land

123

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Anthropogenic factors are responsible for major land use and land cover changes (LULCC). Bale Mountain Eco-Region in Ethiopia is a biodiversity-rich ecosystem where such LULCC have occurred. The specific objectives of this study were to: (i) determine which LULC types gained or lost most as a result of the observed LULCC; (ii) identify the major drivers of the LULCC/deforestation; and (iii) assess the approximate amount of carbon stock removed as a result of deforestation during the study period. Remote sensing and GIS were used to analyze LULCC. Landsat images acquired in 1985, 1995, 2005, and 2015 were used. Additionally, data from the Central Statistics Agency on cropland expansion, and human and livestock population growth were analyzed and correlations were made. The results showed that forest lost 123,751 ha while farmland gained 292,294 ha. Farmland and urban settlement expansion were found to be major drivers of LULCC. Aboveground carbon stock removed from forest and shrubland was more than 24 million tons. In the future, allocation of land to different uses must be based on appropriate land use policies. Integrating biodiversity and ecosystem values for each land cover as per the UN Sustainable Development Goal (UN-SDG) 15.9 may be one of the mechanisms to limit unplanned expansion or invasion of one sector at the expense of another.

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“…Although this is a comparative-static analysis, Mideksa (2010) looks at the impact of climate change on Ethiopia's economy and tries to examine its distributional consequence using the Gini-coefficient. Arndt et al (2011) and Robinson et al (2012Robinson et al ( , 2013 also look at climate change in Ethiopia.…”

Section: Climate Change and Cge Models: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate change and the Ethiopian economy: a CGE analysis

et al. 2015

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The paper analyzes the economic impacts of climate change-induced fluctuations on the performance of Ethiopia's agriculture, using a countrywide computable general equilibrium (CGE) model. We model the impacts on agriculture using a Ricardian model, where current agricultural production is modelled as a function of temperature and precipitation, among other things, and where future agriculture is assumed to follow the same climate function. The effect of overall climate change is projected to be relatively benign until approximately 2030, but will become considerably worse thereafter. Our simulation results indicate that, over a 50-year period, the projected reduction in agricultural productivity may lead to reductions in average income of some 20 per cent compared with the outcome that would have prevailed in the absence of climate change. This indicates that adaptation policies -both government planned and those that ease autonomous adaptation by farmers -will be crucial for Ethiopia's future development.

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Economic and distributional impacts of climate change: The case of Ethiopia

Cited by 67 publications

References 36 publications

Improving poverty and inequality modelling in climate research

Improving poverty and inequality modelling in climate research

Land Use and Land Cover Change in the Bale Mountain Eco-Region of Ethiopia during 1985 to 2015

Climate change and the Ethiopian economy: a CGE analysis

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