2022
DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.abk2542
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Ecological regime shift in the Northeast Atlantic Ocean revealed from the unprecedented reduction in marine growth of Atlantic salmon

Abstract: Ecological regime shifts are abrupt changes in the structure and function of ecosystems that persist over time, but evidence of contemporary regime shifts are rare. Historical scale data from 52,384 individual wild Atlantic salmon caught in 180 rivers from 1989 to 2017 reveal that growth of Atlantic salmon across the Northeast Atlantic Ocean abruptly decreased following the year 2004. At the same time, the proportion of early maturing Atlantic salmon decreased. These changes occurred after a marked decrease in… Show more

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Cited by 51 publications
(119 citation statements)
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References 55 publications
(66 reference statements)
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“…Further, some males never leave their home river and instead mature at a small size at the parr life stage, and so, mature individuals returning from the sea can be several thousand times larger than their mature river-bound counterparts. In recent decades, wild Atlantic salmon stocks have been in decline, with factors suggested to have contributed to this decline including climate change, aquaculture, illegal fishing, hydropower dams and harvesting of prey species (Chaput, 2012;Czorlich et al, 2022;Dadswell et al, 2021;Harvey et al, 2022;ICES, 2019;Vollset et al, 2022). Some of these factors have also been associated with life-history changes in the wild stocks, with some populations experiencing a decrease in the number or proportion of early-maturing individuals (Vollset et al, 2022), while others are reporting a decrease in large, late-maturing, individuals (Czorlich et al, 2018(Czorlich et al, , 2022Olmos et al, 2019).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Further, some males never leave their home river and instead mature at a small size at the parr life stage, and so, mature individuals returning from the sea can be several thousand times larger than their mature river-bound counterparts. In recent decades, wild Atlantic salmon stocks have been in decline, with factors suggested to have contributed to this decline including climate change, aquaculture, illegal fishing, hydropower dams and harvesting of prey species (Chaput, 2012;Czorlich et al, 2022;Dadswell et al, 2021;Harvey et al, 2022;ICES, 2019;Vollset et al, 2022). Some of these factors have also been associated with life-history changes in the wild stocks, with some populations experiencing a decrease in the number or proportion of early-maturing individuals (Vollset et al, 2022), while others are reporting a decrease in large, late-maturing, individuals (Czorlich et al, 2018(Czorlich et al, , 2022Olmos et al, 2019).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…These changes in the ecosystem most likely affected the abundance of prey important for salmon through bottom-up processes, as shown in the present study. The findings are furthermore supported by a drop in marine growth for Norwegian salmon occurring simultaneously as the Norwegian Sea ecosystem changed (Vollset et al, 2022). Analogous ecosystem changes have been shown to impact feeding conditions in the Northwest Atlantic Ocean, where capelin is an important prey species for Atlantic salmon.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 59%
“…The drop in condition factor was associated with reduced stomach fullness, indicating poorer prey availability and feeding opportunities during this period (Utne et al, 2021a). A reduced growth of Atlantic salmon from several populations based on scale analyses has also been shown during this period (Jensen et al, 2012;Trehin et al, 2021;Vollset et al, 2022). The observed reduction in stomach fullness, condition factor and individual growth may explain the reduced marine survival after 2004.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 80%
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“…Data such as those described in this paper are crucial in providing definitive answers as to why marine survival of Atlantic salmon continues to decline. The earlier return migration, coupled with smaller body size, point to several fruitful lines of investigation including: physiological challenges associated with growth rates (Tréhin et al, 2021;Vollset et al, 2022), changing ocean currents (Caesar et al, 2021), decreased feeding opportunities (Peyronnet et al, 2008;Utne et al, 2021) and trophic mismatches (e.g., Burthe et al, 2012). All of these potential causative agents are consistent with the impacts of anthropogenic climate change on the ocean, and are likely to interact in synergistic and antagonistic ways with Atlantic salmon stocks.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%