Abstract:Species’ range shifts and local extinctions caused by global change lead to community composition changes. At large spatial scales, ecological barriers, such as biome boundaries, coastlines, elevation, and temperature gradients, can influence a community's ability to shift. Yet, ecological barriers are rarely considered in global change studies, potentially hindering predictions of biodiversity shifts. We used data from two consecutive European breeding bird atlases to calculate the geographic distance and dir… Show more
“…This result supports the argument that biodiversity changes have a complex coupling with species richness trends (Hillebrand et al., 2018), which may instead be influenced by different global change drivers. Moreover, range shift of avian community in a regional spatial scale may also suffer the effects of landscape fragmentation and landscape barriers that decrease the species movements (Marjakangas et al., 2023).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Only a handful of studies have been able to evaluate or compare historical data with modern data over a long time interval (e.g. Daskalova et al, 2020;Freeman et al, 2018;Marjakangas et al, 2023;Moritz et al, 2008;Palacio et al, 2020).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…natural revegetation) in agricultural areas may generate range shifts in species associated with agroecosystems, which are suffering from widespread declines at the European level (Eglington & Pearce‐Higgins, 2012; Gaüzère et al., 2020; Reino et al., 2018). On the other hand, deforestation has caused habitat loss and fragmentation for forest species (Laurance et al., 2000), which may generate a landscape barrier for range shift of communities affected by climate change (Marjakangas et al., 2023). Therefore, the study of the range shifts of animal species in forest areas undergoing landscape transformations (agricultural abandonment vs. deforestation) and located along elevational gradients may fill a priority knowledge gap.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Only a handful of studies have been able to evaluate or compare historical data with modern data over a long time interval (e.g. Daskalova et al., 2020; Freeman et al., 2018; Marjakangas et al., 2023; Moritz et al., 2008; Palacio et al., 2020). Such studies are particularly valuable since they provide ‘hard’ information about the temporal trajectories of ecosystems rather than probabilistic forecasts only, and allow actually testing for the presence of trends as well as investigating causal hypotheses about the mechanisms underlying the observed changes (Cheng et al., 2019).…”
AimWhen studying the effects of global change on biodiversity, it is far more common for the effects of climate change and land‐use changes to be assessed separately rather than jointly. However, the effects of land‐use changes in recent decades on species richness in areas affected by climate change have been less studied. We assess the temporal turnover in species richness of an avian community between a historical period and a modern one as a consequence of global change.LocationSemiarid Mediterranean ecosystem (southeastern Spain).MethodWe fitted a hierarchical multispecies occupancy model for each period (1991–1992, and 2012–2017), obtaining avian species‐specific estimates of occupancy probability in relation to environmental covariates (elevation and forest cover). We analyse the relationships between changes in the bird community and environmental variables, analysing the temporal turnover of the species richness and the richness‐based species‐exchange ratio.ResultsThe estimated species richness accounting for detectability was higher than observed species richness, and decreased in the more recent period. Following our hypotheses, we observed a dual pattern of species richness increase associated with different elevations, showing different species turnover rates due to the joint effects of climate change and land‐use change. There is a trend towards greater species richness with higher elevations that is associated with climate change, where the species turnover rate is low. Also, species richness increased towards lower elevations, but with a high turnover rate. The latter can be due to species expansions throughout new habitat configurations in bordering forest systems associated with anthropic land‐use changes.ConclusionsOur study is of great interest to understand the temporal turnover of avian species richness associated with areas experiencing both climate and land‐use change.
“…This result supports the argument that biodiversity changes have a complex coupling with species richness trends (Hillebrand et al., 2018), which may instead be influenced by different global change drivers. Moreover, range shift of avian community in a regional spatial scale may also suffer the effects of landscape fragmentation and landscape barriers that decrease the species movements (Marjakangas et al., 2023).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Only a handful of studies have been able to evaluate or compare historical data with modern data over a long time interval (e.g. Daskalova et al, 2020;Freeman et al, 2018;Marjakangas et al, 2023;Moritz et al, 2008;Palacio et al, 2020).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…natural revegetation) in agricultural areas may generate range shifts in species associated with agroecosystems, which are suffering from widespread declines at the European level (Eglington & Pearce‐Higgins, 2012; Gaüzère et al., 2020; Reino et al., 2018). On the other hand, deforestation has caused habitat loss and fragmentation for forest species (Laurance et al., 2000), which may generate a landscape barrier for range shift of communities affected by climate change (Marjakangas et al., 2023). Therefore, the study of the range shifts of animal species in forest areas undergoing landscape transformations (agricultural abandonment vs. deforestation) and located along elevational gradients may fill a priority knowledge gap.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Only a handful of studies have been able to evaluate or compare historical data with modern data over a long time interval (e.g. Daskalova et al., 2020; Freeman et al., 2018; Marjakangas et al., 2023; Moritz et al., 2008; Palacio et al., 2020). Such studies are particularly valuable since they provide ‘hard’ information about the temporal trajectories of ecosystems rather than probabilistic forecasts only, and allow actually testing for the presence of trends as well as investigating causal hypotheses about the mechanisms underlying the observed changes (Cheng et al., 2019).…”
AimWhen studying the effects of global change on biodiversity, it is far more common for the effects of climate change and land‐use changes to be assessed separately rather than jointly. However, the effects of land‐use changes in recent decades on species richness in areas affected by climate change have been less studied. We assess the temporal turnover in species richness of an avian community between a historical period and a modern one as a consequence of global change.LocationSemiarid Mediterranean ecosystem (southeastern Spain).MethodWe fitted a hierarchical multispecies occupancy model for each period (1991–1992, and 2012–2017), obtaining avian species‐specific estimates of occupancy probability in relation to environmental covariates (elevation and forest cover). We analyse the relationships between changes in the bird community and environmental variables, analysing the temporal turnover of the species richness and the richness‐based species‐exchange ratio.ResultsThe estimated species richness accounting for detectability was higher than observed species richness, and decreased in the more recent period. Following our hypotheses, we observed a dual pattern of species richness increase associated with different elevations, showing different species turnover rates due to the joint effects of climate change and land‐use change. There is a trend towards greater species richness with higher elevations that is associated with climate change, where the species turnover rate is low. Also, species richness increased towards lower elevations, but with a high turnover rate. The latter can be due to species expansions throughout new habitat configurations in bordering forest systems associated with anthropic land‐use changes.ConclusionsOur study is of great interest to understand the temporal turnover of avian species richness associated with areas experiencing both climate and land‐use change.
“…However, such climate‐driven latitudinal shifts are often mediated, hindered or facilitated, by other forces. Such forces materialize at different scales, from regional to continental level, such as ecological barriers (Marjakangas et al ., 2023), to local scale, such as land‐use and habitat management (e.g. Thomas & Gillingham, 2015).…”
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