1999
DOI: 10.1126/science.285.5430.1068
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Dynamical Role of Predators in Population Cycles of a Forest Insect: An Experimental Test

Abstract: Population cycles occur frequently in forest insects. Time-series analysis of fluctuations in one such insect, the southern pine beetle (Dendroctonus frontalis), suggests that beetle dynamics are dominated by an ecological process acting in a delayed density-dependent manner. The hypothesis that delayed density dependence in this insect results from its interaction with predators was tested with a long-term predator-exclusion experiment. Predator-imposed mortality was negligible during the increase phase, grew… Show more

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Cited by 186 publications
(139 citation statements)
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“…Studies of diapause behaviour at the individual level, including the heritability of diapause, would be necessary to resolve this question (Bradford & Roff, 1993;Hopper, 1999). Given the results presented here, it seems likely that T. dubius is a component of the delayed response seen in the natural enemy community (Turchin et&., 1999). This predator could at best complete two generations per year, whereas D. frontalis has the potential for six generations (Ungerer etal., 1999), and the occurrence of a diapause in some individuals would add further delays to its numerical response.…”
Section: Complex Emergence Patterns 231mentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…Studies of diapause behaviour at the individual level, including the heritability of diapause, would be necessary to resolve this question (Bradford & Roff, 1993;Hopper, 1999). Given the results presented here, it seems likely that T. dubius is a component of the delayed response seen in the natural enemy community (Turchin et&., 1999). This predator could at best complete two generations per year, whereas D. frontalis has the potential for six generations (Ungerer etal., 1999), and the occurrence of a diapause in some individuals would add further delays to its numerical response.…”
Section: Complex Emergence Patterns 231mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…A large community of natural enemies is associated with D. frontalis, arriving during mass attack or later on in brood development (Camors & Payne, 1973;Dixon & Payne, 1979b). A number of studies indicate that this community can cause significant mortality of D.frontuZis brood inside the tree (Moore, 1972;Linit & Stephen, 1983), with the strongest impact occurring in the year following peak D. frontalis abundance (Turchin et al, 1999). This delayed density dependence, generated by natural enemies, is a possible explanation for the cyclic nature of D. frontalis outbreaks (Turchin etal., 1999;Reeve & Turchin, 2000).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Note that not all populations of the selected taxa are cyclic. taxon cycle period examples of interactions hypothesized to be generating the cycles spatial dynamics (TWZtravelling waves) possible hypothesis for spatial dynamics larch budmoth, Zeiraphera diniana 8-10 years (Turchin 2003) plant-moth-parasitoid (Turchin 2003), plant-herbivore (SelĂ„s 2006a) TW (BjĂžrnstad et al 2002;Johnson et al 2004) gradients in habitat connectivity and site productivity (Johnson et al 2004(Johnson et al , 2006) southern pine beetle, Dendroctonus frontalis 6-9 years (Turchin 2003) predator-prey (Turchin 2003;Turchin et al 1999), plant-herbivore (SelĂ„s 2006a) isolated patchy outbreaks (Turchin et al 1998;Okland et al 2005) diffusion-driven instability by predator -prey interaction (Turchin et al 1998) red grouse, Lagopus lagopus scoticus 6-11 years (Turchin 2003) parasite-grouse (Hudson et al 1998;Lambin et al 1999;Turchin 2003;Redpath et al 2006), kin selection (Moss et al 1996;Matthiopoulos et al 2003Matthiopoulos et al , 2005Turchin 2003;Mougeot et al 2005), plant-herbivore (SelĂ„s 2006a) regional synchrony in some years (Cattadori et al 2005), TW (Mougeot et al 2005) seasonal forcing (Cattadori et al 2005), habitat boundary , productivity gradient (Johnson et al 2006) Fennoscandian voles, Microtus spp. and Clethrionomys spp.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…(Coleoptera: Scolytidae) and its predator Thanasimus dubius (F.) (Coleoptera: Cleridae): adult T. dubius are in high abundance 302 N. WarzĂ©e et al on the bark surface of attacked trees, can inflict more than 60% mortality to SPB adults and their densities exhibit yearly oscillations phase-shifted with respect to those of SPB [24,28]. In the USA, a predator/prey model based upon the T. dubius/D.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%