Dynamic Assessment of Hematological Parameters as Predictive Biomarkers for Disease Severity and Prognosis in COVID-19 Patients: A Longitudinal Study

Abstract

Background: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), has led to substantial morbidity and mortality worldwide. Hematological abnormalities are common in COVID-19 patients and play a significant role in disease pathogenesis and prognosis. Objective: This study aimed to longitudinally monitor hematological parameters in COVID-19 patients and investigate their predictive value for disease severity and prognosis. Methods: A prospective longitudinal design was employed to enroll 121 adult patients diagnosed with COVID-19 based on positive SARS-CoV-2 reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) test results. Baseline demographic and clinical data were collected, and hematological parameters, including complete blood count (CBC) indices, inflammatory markers, and coagulation profiles, were measured at predefined time points during hospitalization or outpatient visits. Follow-up assessments were conducted longitudinally to monitor the disease progression and clinical outcomes. Results: This study revealed dynamic changes in hematological parameters over the course of COVID-19. Hemoglobin levels showed a decrease from baseline (mean ± SD: 12.5 ± 1.8 g/dL) to the peak of illness (10.2 ± 2.0 g/dL), indicating the development of anemia during the acute phase of infection. White blood cell counts demonstrated an initial increase (8.9 ± 3.2 × 10^9/L) followed by a decline (5.4 ± 1.9 × 10^9/L) as the disease progressed, suggesting an early inflammatory response followed by immune suppression. The platelet counts fluctuated, with a decrease observed during the acute phase (190 ± 50 × 10^9/L) and subsequent recovery during convalescence (240 ± 60 × 10^9/L). Inflammatory markers, such as C-reactive protein and interleukin-6, were elevated, peaking at 120 and 150 pg/mL, respectively, indicating systemic inflammation. Coagulation profiles showed abnormalities suggestive of COVID-19-associated coagulopathy, including elevated D-dimer levels (mean ± SD: 3.5 ± 1.2 µg/mL) and prolonged prothrombin time (15.8 ± 2.5 seconds). Longitudinal analysis of hematological parameters revealed associations between disease severity and clinical outcomes, with certain abnormalities correlating with an increased risk of complications and a poor prognosis. Conclusion: This study highlights the importance of monitoring hematological parameters in COVID-19 patients for risk stratification, prognostication, and guiding therapeutic interventions.