“…Like other boxes, the NCAPE drops precipitously in the winter months (Figure b), and there is a slight shift to higher vertical velocities (Figure c); however, the shift in RPF size in the winter months is to smaller RPF sizes, unlike the oceanic seasonal progressions shown above. This region experiences most of its lightning during the winter months when there is advection of cold, dry Siberian air masses over the relatively warm water, providing enough instability to create strong convection at low levels, and thereby, increase the probability of lightning [ Kitagawa and Michimoto , ; Yamada et al , ] despite the absence of external forcing (cyclones, fronts, or orographic) [ Magono et al , ]. When we compare the 700 and 850 mbar temperatures for the Northwest Pacific and the Northwest Atlantic (Figure ), both at the same latitude interval, both east of a landmass, both in Northern Hemisphere winter, the temperatures at the same altitude are significantly different.…”