DRAMs, fiber and energy compared with three models of market penetration

Versluis, Cokki

doi:10.1016/s0040-1625(01)00141-x

Cited by 22 publications

(7 citation statements)

References 14 publications

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“…The price increase compared to the predicted lines can be interpreted as a consequence of the constrained supply in this period. 7 In 1991, the STA was extended for another five years. In the second STA period the empirical price of the DRAM generations approaches floor prices caused by the external supply constraints.…”

Section: The Mean Price Evolution Of Successive Dram Generationsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…They can be traced back to Fisher and Pry [1] who suggested that technologies suffer from a logistic replacement dynamics of their market shares. This approach was successfully applied in particular by authors related to the Laxenburg School [2][3][4][5][6][7][8]. The other way of thought is to treat the evolution of successive generations as a diffusion process caused by the decision behaviour of potential buyers, introduced by Norton and Bass [9].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Dynamic Model of Markets of Successive Product Generations

Kaldasch

2015

SSRN Journal

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Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen:Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden.Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen.Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. Terms of use: Documents in ABSTRACTA dynamic microeconomic model is presented that establishes the price and unit sales evolution of heterogeneous goods consisting of successive homogenous product generations. It suggests that for a fast growing supply the mean price of the generations are governed by a logistic decline towards a floor price. It is shown that generations of a heterogeneous good are in mutual competition. Their market shares are therefore governed by a Fisher-Pry law while the total unit sales are governed by the lifecycle dynamics of the good. As a result the absolute unit sales of a generation exhibit a characteristic sales peak consisting of a rapid increase followed by a long tail. The presented approach shows that the evolution of successive product generations can be understood as an evolutionary adaptation process. The applicability of the model is confirmed by a comparison with empirical investigations on successive DRAM generations.

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Section: The Mean Price Evolution Of Successive Dram Generationsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Dynamic Model of Markets of Successive Product Generations

Kaldasch

2015

SSRN Journal

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“…Here, we have considered datasets of 4 K, 16 K and 64 K of DRAM family having 12, 10 and 15 yearly observations of worldwide shipments from 1974 to 1992. The 4 K DRAM Chipsets were introduced in the year 1974 and 16 K and 64 K were introduced in the year 1976 and 1978 respectively (Victor & Ausubel, 2001;Versluis, 2002).…”

Section: Parameter Estimation and Comparisonmentioning

confidence: 99%

Determining adoption pattern with pricing using two-dimensional innovation diffusion model

Kapur

Singh

Chanda

et al. 2010

The Journal of High Technology Management Research

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“…They find their main application in computers primarily in PCs and servers. There is an extensive literature available on the technological evolution of DRAMs [10,[15][16][17][18][19]. The production technology to create memory chips is quite complex.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Evolutionary Model of Moore’s Law

Kaldasch

2014

ISRN Economics

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Moore suggested an exponential growth of the number of transistors in integrated electronic circuits. In this paper, Moore's law is derived from a preferential growth model of successive production technology generations. The theory suggests that products manufactured with a new production technology generating lower costs per unit have a competitive advantage on the market. Therefore, previous technology generations are replaced according to a Fisher-Pry law. Discussed is the case that a production technology is governed by a cost relevant characteristic. If this characteristic is bounded by a technological or physical boundary, the presented evolutionary model predicts an asymptotic approach to this limit. The model discusses the wafer size evolution and the long term evolution of Moore's law for the case of a physical boundary of the lithographic production technology. It predicts that the miniaturization process of electronic devices will slow down considerably in the next two decades.

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DRAMs, fiber and energy compared with three models of market penetration

Cited by 22 publications

References 14 publications

Dynamic Model of Markets of Successive Product Generations

Dynamic Model of Markets of Successive Product Generations

Determining adoption pattern with pricing using two-dimensional innovation diffusion model

Evolutionary Model of Moore’s Law

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