Domestic Revolutionary Leaders and International Conflict

Colgan, Jeff D.

doi:10.1017/s004388711300021x

Cited by 92 publications

(63 citation statements)

References 49 publications

(16 reference statements)

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“…This paper attempted to bring both of these approaches together in one unifying framework by analyzing the determinants of leaders' distinct career trajectories and how the latter may in turn effect democratic development. The proposed data, argument, and findings shed new light on the factors behind democratic consolidation and the allocation of talent in public and private jobs, and will be of interest to scholars of not only democracy but also of political leadership, background and traits (e.g., Besley et al, 2011;Colgan, 2013;Dreher et al, 2009;Hayo & Neumeier, 2014;Horowitz & Stam, 2014). Note: Models 1-5 are Heckman selection models that predict future careers after accounting for as to why leaders do not retire.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 89%

Democracy, Development, and Career Trajectories of Former Political Leaders

Baturo

2016

Comparative Political Studies

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One of the obstacles to democratic development is the reluctance of political leaders to leave office. This paper argues that alongside democratic constraints and accountability, leaders' career concerns -specifically, the possibility of post-tenure careers -is an important factor behind their rotation in office. While literature exists about leaders' exit and fate, we lack a systematic understanding of their careers and whether former rulers retire, remain in politics, pursue civil service, business, international, or non-profit careers after leaving office. Drawing on the new data on the prior and post-tenure occupations of leaders from 1960-2010, the paper explains how democracy, personal background and the economy influence what ex-leaders can do, and why. In turn, over time the post-tenure careers of prior rulers may strengthen the precedent behind the institutional routinization of the rotation in office norm -an important component of democratic consolidation.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 89%

Democracy, Development, and Career Trajectories of Former Political Leaders

Baturo

2016

Comparative Political Studies

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“…Although much scholarship has focused on how institutional differences between democracies and dictatorships affect conflict initiation, newer research indicates that when it comes to the initiation of international conflict, a more important distinction is whether the regime-democratic or not-features institutions that 10. See Colgan 2013aand 2013b. 11.…”

Section: Political Institutions and Conflict Initiation In The Aftermmentioning

confidence: 99%

Revolution, Personalist Dictatorships, and International Conflict

Colgan¹,

Weeks²

2014

Int Org

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A consensus exists that countries that have recently undergone domestic political revolutions are particularly likely to become involved in military conflicts with other states. However, scholars seek to understand when and why revolutions increase the likelihood of international violence. In contrast to existing work focusing on international systemic factors, we argue that revolution fosters conflict in part by affecting states’ domestic political structures. Previous research has shown that revolution tends to bring particularly aggressive leaders to power. We demonstrate that revolutions also frequently result in personalist dictatorships, or regimes that lack powerful institutions to constrain and punish leaders. By empowering and ensconcing leaders with revisionist preferences and high risk tolerance, revolutions that result in personalist dictatorships are significantly more likely to lead to international conflict than revolutions that culminate in other forms of government. Our arguments and evidence help explain not only why revolution so commonly leads to conflict, but also why some revolutions lead to conflict whereas others do not.

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“…Because such studies require more detailed information about leaders' personal background which is not covered by the Archigos, the majority of scholars have to undergo their own significant data-collection efforts pertaining to some aspect of leaders' personal background and traits. As a result, the new wave of leadership studies in political science and economics is extremely data-intensive (e.g., Alexiadou, 2015;Baturo, 2014;Byman & Pollack, 2001;Colgan, 2013;Dreher, Lein, Lamla, & Somogyi, 2009;Hayo & Neumeier, 2014;Horowitz & Stam, 2014;McDermott, 2007). While several new cross-national data sets have emerged that are able to account for various aspects of leaders' background and traits (e.g., Dreher et al, 2009;Ellis, Horowitz & Stam, 2015;Gerring, Oncel, Morrison, & Keefer, 2014;Ludwig, 2002), the majority of leadership studies focus, and provide data on, very specific aspects of leaders' personal background (e.g., Byman & Pollack, 2001;Horowitz & Stam, 2014); many only cover particular geographic regions or political regimes, e.g., only democracies or presidential regimes (e.g., Alexiadou, 2015;Baturo, 2014;Pérez-Liñán, 2009).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Cursus Honorum: Personal Background, Careers and Experience of Political Leaders in Democracy and Dictatorship—New Data and Analyses

Baturo

2016

PaG

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Politics in democracy and dictatorship is markedly different; democracy and dictatorship are also associated with distinct policy outcomes. Do political regimes also select different leaders, i.e., do democratic leaders have distinct personal backgrounds to those of their peers in dictatorships, do they tend to hold different prior careers and posts while climbing the "greasy pole" of politics? The aim of this paper is to introduce the new data on leaders' careers in democracy and dictatorship and compare their personal background, experience in politics, careers and significant posts prior to their tenure, and details about their time in office, inter alia. In general, democratic leaders differ from nondemocratic ones in terms of their educational, social and career background. The paper also finds significant differences among leaders in different nondemocratic regimes, and suggests possible venues for further research.

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Domestic Revolutionary Leaders and International Conflict

Abstract: d o m es t i c r evo lu t i o na ry le a d er s 8

Cited by 92 publications

References 49 publications

Democracy, Development, and Career Trajectories of Former Political Leaders

Democracy, Development, and Career Trajectories of Former Political Leaders

Revolution, Personalist Dictatorships, and International Conflict

Cursus Honorum: Personal Background, Careers and Experience of Political Leaders in Democracy and Dictatorship—New Data and Analyses

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