2021
DOI: 10.1111/fima.12364
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Does the Federal Open Market Committee cycle affect credit risk?

Abstract: This paper studies the returns of credit default swap (CDS) indices over the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) cycle. We document that the CDS return is significantly higher in even weeks than in odd weeks of the FOMC cycle. The biweekly pattern in the CDS market is not a mere reflection of that in the stock market. A simple trading strategy based on the biweekly pattern yields an annual excess return of 8.8%. This pattern is linked to the resolution of macroeconomic uncertainty by the biweekly schedules of… Show more

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Cited by 21 publications
(9 citation statements)
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“…Thus, higher information disclosure can effectively decrease the information asymmetry among stakeholders, enhance investors’ market attention and trading confidence, attract more investor participation, and thus foster the improvement of stock liquidity [ 48 , 49 ]. For enterprises with poor information disclosure, investors lack the basis for value judgment and cannot efficiently assess enterprise value, increasing the likelihood of internal transactions, agent conflicts, and other difficulties and reducing investors’ willingness to hold, which leads to diminished stock liquidity [ 50 , 51 ]. Enterprise digital transformation disrupts the "information island", extends the information search channel through digital technology, enhances the scope and quality of enterprise information disclosure, and alleviates the problem of stakeholder information bias and adverse selection.…”
Section: Theoretical Analysis and Research Hypothesesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Thus, higher information disclosure can effectively decrease the information asymmetry among stakeholders, enhance investors’ market attention and trading confidence, attract more investor participation, and thus foster the improvement of stock liquidity [ 48 , 49 ]. For enterprises with poor information disclosure, investors lack the basis for value judgment and cannot efficiently assess enterprise value, increasing the likelihood of internal transactions, agent conflicts, and other difficulties and reducing investors’ willingness to hold, which leads to diminished stock liquidity [ 50 , 51 ]. Enterprise digital transformation disrupts the "information island", extends the information search channel through digital technology, enhances the scope and quality of enterprise information disclosure, and alleviates the problem of stakeholder information bias and adverse selection.…”
Section: Theoretical Analysis and Research Hypothesesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The level of economic development and innovation in the Yangtze River Delta, the Pearl River Delta and the Bohai Rim are significantly higher than those in the central and western regions. This paper refers to Huang et al (2021), uses the per capita GDP of cities to measure the level of regional economic development. According to the median of per capita GDP of cities, the sample is divided into enterprises with high economic development level and enterprises with low economic development level.…”
Section: From the Perspective Of Enterprise Characteristicsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…By analyzing risk factors, risk trends can be controlled and potential risks can be predicted. Huang et al [ 9 ] studied the return rate of the Credit Default Swap (CDS) index during the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) cycle in the United States. The results indicated that in even weeks of the Federal Open Market Committee cycle, the CDS return rate were significantly higher than in odd weeks.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%