Does Covid-19 Accelerate the Cybernetic Revolution and Transition from E-Government to E-State?

Abstract

We elsewhere pointed out that the forthcoming sixth K-wave will merge with the final phase of the Cybernetic Revolution (the 2030s -the 2070s). Thus, the technological and economic tide will be more powerful than in the fifth K-wave. So any factors that may change the time or way of the Cybernetic Revolution will also affect the sixth K-wave. In this article we will analyze one of such factors. Among many influences that the pandemic has and will have on society and the World System as a whole, one of the most important is the acceleration of the start of a new technological wave and a new technological paradigm in the near future. This impact is determined by the growing need for the development of a number of areas in medicine, bio-and nanotechnology, artificial intelligence and others, which we denote as 'MANBRIC-convergence'. It is shown that the experience of dealing with the COVID-19 pandemic has confirmed that the final phase of the Cybernetic Revolution will begin in the 2030s at the intersection of a number of medical, bio-, digital and several other technologies, with medical needs as an integrating link. Among the multitude of * This research has been supported by the Russian Science Foundation (Project № 20-61-46004).The article is a revised version of the paper published in Technological Forecasting Social Changes in 2022.

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“…2015а; 2015б; Grinin L., Grinin A. 2016;Grinin et al 2017a;2017b;2021] ChatGPT: достижения. Одним из последних примеров сложнейшего ИИ является появившаяся на свет в 2020 г. текстовая нейросеть GPT-3 (она относится и к ИИ больших языковых моделей).…”

Social Evolution: Theoretical Aspects and General Outlines

“…4 For a thorough criticism of such approaches, as well as the question of the role of wars and other external factors in the process of state formation, see in Grinin 2003cin Grinin , 2004in Grinin , 2007a2014b, 2014cGrinin, Korotayev 2009b, 2012. But let us emphasize once again that the division between external and internal factors is somewhat arbitrary, since external forces in one system of coordinates become internal forces in another system (for more details, see Grinin 1997bGrinin , 2007aGrinin , 2007bGrinin , 2020bKorotayev 1997Korotayev , 2003bAkaev et al 2023;Sadovnichy et al 2023).…”