“…Many students have said both on the Stochastic World of Radioactive Decay Evaluation (SWORDE) and in interviews that, if you are looking at an individual atom, half of the atom will have decayed after one half-life. Findings have indicated, however, that this idea (of individual atoms decaying in a predictably continuous manner) is often not a robust and intact mental structure; rather, in other contexts, the same students correctly discuss decay as being instantaneous and unpredictable (Hull, Holzinger, et al, 2022;Hull, Jansky, et al, 2022). In this paper, we investigate a new context, that of a writing prompt about a real-world situation.…”