Does climate change affect the chronobiological trends
in the occurrence of acute coronary syndrome?

Kuźma, Łukasz; Kurasz, Anna; Niwińska, Marta Maria; Zalewska-Adamiec, Małgorzata; Bachórzewska−Gajewska, Hanna; Dobrzycki, Sławomir

doi:10.5114/aoms/124020

Cited by 2 publications

(2 citation statements)

References 38 publications

(42 reference statements)

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“…Eighthly, we were not able to obtain reliable information on the smoking status, diabetes therapy, and changes in pharmacotherapy during follow-up. Lastly, none of these scores take into account external factors, such as air pollution or climate change, which have a large impact on cardiovascular morbidity and mortality [ 10 , 33 ].…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…An aging population, undeniable medical advances, and increased life expectancy make it increasingly challenging to identify new risk factors. Things that once posed a direct risk of death, such as infections, are now giving way to new risk factors that were once neglected, such as air pollution and climate change [ 9 , 10 ]. Therefore, a continuous validation of the existing scales and consideration of new potential risk factors beyond those strictly related to the patient’s condition are essential.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Comparing Atrial-Fibrillation Validated Rapid Scoring Systems in the Long-Term Mortality Prediction in Patients Referred for Elective Coronary Angiography: A Subanalysis of the Białystok Coronary Project

Rogalska

Kurasz

Kuźma

et al. 2022

IJERPH

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Rapid scoring systems validated in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) may be useful beyond their original purpose. Our aim was to assess the utility of CHA2DS2-VASc, HAS–BLED, and 2MACE scores in predicting long-term mortality in the population of the Białystok Coronary Project, including AF patients. The initial study population consisted of 7409 consecutive patients admitted for elective coronary angiography between 2007 and 2016. The study endpoint was all-cause mortality, which occurred in 1244 (16.8%) patients during the follow-up, ranging from 1283 to 3059 days (median 2029 days). We noticed substantially increased all-cause mortality in patients with higher values of all compared scores. The accuracy of the scores in predicting all-cause mortality was also assessed using the receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves. The greatest predictive value for mortality was recorded for the CHA2DS2-VASc score in the overall study population (area under curve [AUC] = 0.665; 95% confidence interval [95%CI] 0.645–0.681). We observed that the 2MACE score (AUC = 0.656; 95%CI 0.619–0.681), but not the HAS–BLED score, had similar predictive value to the CHA2DS2-VASc score for all-cause mortality in the overall study population. In AF patients, all scores did not differ in all-cause mortality prediction. Additionally, we found that study participants with CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥3 vs. <3 had a 3-fold increased risk of long-term all-cause mortality (odds ratio 3.05; 95%CI 2.6–3.6). Our study indicates that clinical scores initially validated in AF patients may be useful for predicting mortality in a broader population (e.g., in patients referred for elective coronary angiography). According to our findings, all compared scores have a moderate predictive value. However, in our study, the CHA2DS2-VASc and 2MACE scores outperformed the HAS–BLED score in terms of the long-term all-cause mortality prediction.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Comparing Atrial-Fibrillation Validated Rapid Scoring Systems in the Long-Term Mortality Prediction in Patients Referred for Elective Coronary Angiography: A Subanalysis of the Białystok Coronary Project

Rogalska

Kurasz

Kuźma

et al. 2022

IJERPH

Self Cite

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Exposure to air pollution and its effect on ischemic strokes (EP-PARTICLES study)

Kuźma

Roszkowska

Święczkowski

et al. 2022

Sci Rep

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It is well known that exceeded levels of particulate matter in the air and other air pollutants harmfully affect the cardiovascular system. Empirical analyses of the effects of these factors on stroke incidence and mortality are still limited. The main objective of our analyses was to determine the association between short-term exposure to air pollutants and stroke incidence in non-industrial areas, more specifically in north-eastern Poland. To achieve this aim, we used data from the National Health Fund on patients hospitalized for stroke between 2011 and 2020 in the largest city of the region described as the Green Lungs of Poland. The pollution levels and atmospheric conditions data were obtained from the Provincial Inspectorate for Environmental Protection and the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management. Using daily data on hospitalizations, atmospheric conditions, and pollution, as well as ordered logistic regression models the hypotheses on the impact of weather and air pollution conditions on ischemic strokes were tested. The study group included 4838 patients, 45.6% of whom were male; the average patient age was approximately 74 years. The average concentrations of PM2.5 were 19.09 µg/m3, PM10 26.66 µg/m3 and CO 0.35 µg/m3. Analyses showed that an increase in PM2.5 and PM10 concentrations by 10 µg/m3 was associated with an increase in the incidence of stroke on the day of exposure (OR = 1.075, 95% CI 0.999–1.157, P = 0.053; OR = 1.056, 95% CI 1.004–1.110, P = 0.035) and the effect was even several times greater on the occurrence of a stroke event in general (PM2.5: OR = 1.120, 95% CI 1.013–1.237, P = 0.026; PM10: OR = 1.103, 95% CI 1.028–1.182, P = 0.006). Furthermore, a short-term (up to 3 days) effect of CO on stroke incidence was observed in the study area. An increase of 1 μg/m3 CO was associated with a lower incidence of stroke 2 days after the exposure (OR = 0.976, 95% CI 0.953–0.998, P = 0.037) and a higher incidence 3 days after the exposure (OR = 1.026, 95% CI 1.004–1.049, P = 0.022).

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Does climate change affect the chronobiological trends in the occurrence of acute coronary syndrome?

Cited by 2 publications

References 38 publications

Comparing Atrial-Fibrillation Validated Rapid Scoring Systems in the Long-Term Mortality Prediction in Patients Referred for Elective Coronary Angiography: A Subanalysis of the Białystok Coronary Project

Comparing Atrial-Fibrillation Validated Rapid Scoring Systems in the Long-Term Mortality Prediction in Patients Referred for Elective Coronary Angiography: A Subanalysis of the Białystok Coronary Project

Exposure to air pollution and its effect on ischemic strokes (EP-PARTICLES study)

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