Do natural disasters affect local elections? An empirical examination using subnational electoral data
Haruo Kondoh,
Takeshi Miyazaki
Abstract:Do natural disasters affect election results? Some studies have shown that natural disasters negatively impact subsequent elections, while others do not. This study investigated the link between natural disasters and local elections using data from the Japanese prefectural governor elections for the years 1985–2015. A rich data set is available for prefectural governor elections in Japan that includes information on who won, the vote shares of all candidates, and when the election was held, among others. We fo… Show more
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