Do <i>all</i> voters appreciate rebels? Ideology moderates valence benefits from factional dissent

Besch, Johannes; Ortega, Alberto López

doi:10.1080/13572334.2021.1966875

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2022

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“…In this section, we report conditional effects to show that the null results hold across different levels of voter characteristics that could potentially moderate the effect of legislator dissent. How voters react to dissent could depend, for example, on their party identity (Kam 2009) or ideological positions (Besch and López-Ortega 2021). We therefore re-estimate Model 6 in Table 1, by adding interaction terms between Dissent and four variables: Political Knowledge, Media Consumption, Left-Right Position and Party ID.…”

Section: Conditional Effectsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Legislator Dissent Does Not Affect Electoral Outcomes

Cowley

Umit

2022

Brit. J. Polit. Sci.

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Are there electoral consequences or benefits for legislators who deviate from the party line? We answer this question with data from individual-level vote choice and constituency-level electoral results in the UK for the last two decades. Exploring the variations in voting patterns over time with a panel-regression approach, we find results that are most compatible with the null hypothesis, that is, that dissent by legislators is neither rewarded nor punished in elections. These results call into question the degree to which voters know and/or care about legislative dissent in parliament.

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Section: Conditional Effectsmentioning

confidence: 99%