Do geopolitical risk and economic policy uncertainty cause CO2 emissions in BRICS? The role of institutional quality and energy productivity

Cui, Xiangying; Wang, Weizheng; Işık, Cem; Uddin, Ijaz; Yan, Jiale; Gu, Xiao; Ahmad, Maaz

doi:10.1007/s00477-023-02646-3

Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess

2024

DOI: 10.1007/s00477-023-02646-3

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Do geopolitical risk and economic policy uncertainty cause CO2 emissions in BRICS? The role of institutional quality and energy productivity

Xiangying Cui,

Weizheng Wang,

Cem Işık

et al.

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Cited by 12 publications

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Natural resource development, economic policy uncertainty and urban residents’ consumption in China: a nonlinear ARDL and time-varying parameter vector autoregressive with stochastic volatility approach

Long,

Cui,

Yan

et al. 2024

Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess

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Increased risks of economic policy uncertainty and overexploitation of natural resources exist in China. At the same time, the growth rate of urban residents’ consumption has generally declined. The paper analyses the role of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and natural resource exploitation on the urban residents’ consumption in China. Based on the data from the first quarter of 2002 to the third quarter of 2021, the paper uses a nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag model to verify the asymmetric effects. Then the paper constructs a time-varying parameter vector autoregressive model with stochastic volatility term to analyze the nonlinear responses. Impulse response analysis was used to further explain the relationship between the three. The negative impact of rising EPU on urban residents’ consumption is larger than its reduction. Negative shocks to natural resource development increase the urban residents’ consumption. Positive shocks reduce the urban residents’ consumption. There is a time-varying non-linear effect of EPU and natural resource development on urban residents’ consumption in China. The negative impact of EPU on urban consumption has been further exacerbated by major crises such as the financial crisis, COVID-19 and the post-crisis period. The negative impact of natural resource development diminished after the government introduced industrial upgrading policies and environmental regulations. This study provides constructive suggestions for the optimization of economic policies and the improvement of urban consumption. This study also enriches consumer theory and provides new evidence for the resource curse hypothesis.

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Natural resource development, economic policy uncertainty and urban residents’ consumption in China: a nonlinear ARDL and time-varying parameter vector autoregressive with stochastic volatility approach

Long,

Cui,

Yan

et al. 2024

Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

Unravelling complexities: a study on geopolitical dynamics, economic complexity, R&D impact on green innovation in China

Sun,

Işık,

Razi

et al. 2024

Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess

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Unveiling asymmetry impacts of economic policy uncertainty on climate change: fresh insights into African Countries

Brini,

Toumi,

Chaouech

et al. 2024

Environ Sci Pollut Res

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Do geopolitical risk and economic policy uncertainty cause CO2 emissions in BRICS? The role of institutional quality and energy productivity

Cited by 12 publications

References 100 publications

Natural resource development, economic policy uncertainty and urban residents’ consumption in China: a nonlinear ARDL and time-varying parameter vector autoregressive with stochastic volatility approach

Natural resource development, economic policy uncertainty and urban residents’ consumption in China: a nonlinear ARDL and time-varying parameter vector autoregressive with stochastic volatility approach

Unravelling complexities: a study on geopolitical dynamics, economic complexity, R&D impact on green innovation in China

Unveiling asymmetry impacts of economic policy uncertainty on climate change: fresh insights into African Countries

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