Do Flight Times Change Year to Year? A Comparison of 2001 and 2002

Abstract

For a system to be managed, it must be measured. The National Airspace System (NAS), the collection of airspace and airport resources in and under the control of the United States (U.S.), is a very complex system which presents great challenges of measurement and management. One key measure of en route airspace efficiency is flying time, i.e., the amount of time it takes for an aircraft to travel through en route airspace on its flight from origin to destination airport. A number of factors influence flying time, the most obvious being the winds. Other important factors are: traffic congestion, air traffic management (ATM) interventions, route structure, industry strategies, and weather. In this paper, we calculate en route flying time in the aggregate and compare a subset of data for the years 2001 and 2002. We account for aircraft equipment type and adjusted flying time for wind effects. In addition, we have selected for analysis a sample of only good weather days (15 in each of the 2 years). The results show that 2002 has slightly shorter flying times than 2001, on the order of 20-25 seconds shorter. Although we did not investigate the causes for the change, we conjecture that the lower levels of traffic after the Fall of 2001 are causing less congestion and less delay. New automation and procedural initiatives may also be contributing to the improvement. * Efficiency may be defined as the level of utilization of a resource, with consideration of the cost or effort undertaken to achieve that level. † Free Flight is an industry/government initiative which provides greater freedom for pilots and airlines to select planned and flown routes and takeoff times. Free Flight supports collaboration between airspace managers and airspace users.