Do Diversionary Incentives Affect Korea-Japan Historical Disputes?

Hwang, Wonjae; Nishikawa, Misa

doi:10.29152/koiks.2017.48.4.733

Cited by 3 publications

(1 citation statement)

References 19 publications

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“…In this regard, President Lee's Dokdo visit promoted nationalist sentiments among Koreans, diluted the pro-Japanese image of his party, and energized conservative voters, which eventually contributed to Park Geun-hye's victory in the presidential election in December of that year to some extent. Similarly, for conservative Japanese politicians such as Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, territorial disputes over Dokdo/Takeshima or Senkaku/Diaoyu Islands can be viewed as an effective tool or opportunity to strengthen their political bases in Japanese domestic politics, hence accelerating their military buildup or the Peace Constitution revision plans (Hwang and Nishikawa 2017;Yokota 2012).…”

Section: Rally Effects Of Historical Disputesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Do Korean-Japanese Historical Disputes Generate Rally Effects?

Hwang¹,

Cho

Wiegand

2018

J of Asian Stud

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Does ongoing animosity between South Korea and Japan over the disputed Dokdo Islands and other issues that originated from historical disputes generate rally effects in Korean domestic politics? This article argues that the Dokdo Islands dispute-and related disputed issues rooted in the colonial experience of Korea under Japan's rule historically -strongly influence Korean presidents' abilities to effectively mobilize domestic support for not only the issues, but particularly the public opinion of presidents. Using data on Korean presidents' approval ratings between 1993 and 2016, this article shows that Korea's bilateral disputes with Japan tend to promote Korean presidential popularity. The findings suggest that external crises with Japan related to historical disputes have positive political effects on leadership ratings in Korea.

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Section: Rally Effects Of Historical Disputesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Do Korean-Japanese Historical Disputes Generate Rally Effects?

Hwang¹,

Cho

Wiegand

2018

J of Asian Stud

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Why Talk Tough? Explaining Japanese Prime Ministers’ Proactiveness in National Defense Rhetoric

Liu

2021

Foreign Policy Analysis

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What explains variations in the proactiveness of Japanese Prime Ministers (PMs) toward national defense? Although the Japanese Constitution renounces the use of force, leaders sometimes speak assertively over national security. Drawing on competing international relations and Japanese foreign policy theories, this study seeks to quantitatively model and analyze predictors of political rhetoric in PMs’ speeches and statements from 2009 to 2019. Each statement is coded into four sets of binary dependent variables through content analysis and tested against five competing hypotheses. The main finding reveals that leaders become more likely to advocate for specifically assertive national security policy when Chinese vessel intrusion increases, but not when North Korea missile tests and aircraft scrambles increase. Instead of a diversionary use of words, an emboldening effect is evident in rhetoric that evokes responsibility in international defense, moderated by ruling government strength. The findings advance academic understandings of Japanese national security policy messaging and highlight the effect of external threat perception on political rhetoric.

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China–DPRK Relations, China’s Rise, and DPRK Aggressions toward the ROK–U.S., 1990–2021

Chung¹

2023

Asian Survey

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This study investigates, using statistical analysis and case evidence, whether cooperative China–DPRK relations or China’s rise influence the DPRK to act more aggressively toward the ROK–U.S. Statistically, amicable China–DPRK ties have a positive association with the number of DPRK’s aggressive actions toward the ROK–U.S. The increase in China–DPRK’s material capability relative to that of the ROK–U.S. also positively affected this number. These findings are further supported through case evidence: China’s stance toward the DPRK before and after the sinking of the Cheonan in 2010, and the THAAD incident between the DPRK’s fourth and fifth nuclear tests in 2016.

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Do Diversionary Incentives Affect Korea-Japan Historical Disputes?

Cited by 3 publications

References 19 publications

Do Korean-Japanese Historical Disputes Generate Rally Effects?

Do Korean-Japanese Historical Disputes Generate Rally Effects?

Why Talk Tough? Explaining Japanese Prime Ministers’ Proactiveness in National Defense Rhetoric

China–DPRK Relations, China’s Rise, and DPRK Aggressions toward the ROK–U.S., 1990–2021

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