Do Differences in the Exposure to Chinese Imports Lead to Differences in Local Labour Market Outcomes? An Analysis for Spanish Provinces

Polarization and the growth of low‐skill service jobs in Spanish local labor markets

“…These patterns resonate with a recent analysis of the changes in the occupational structure in Spain in the aftermath of the great recession (Anghel, De la Rica, & Lacuesta, ), and add to it by offering a longer term perspective . The decline of these mid‐skill occupations also resonates with the findings of a study on the impact of international trade on the province‐level employment in Spain (Donoso, Martín, & Minondo, ).…”

Made in China, Sold in Norway: Local Labor Market Effects of an Import Shock

“…As a point of comparison, ADH find for the US that an increase in exposure to imports from China of 1,000 US dollars (USD) (equal to approximately 7,000 NOK) results in a decline in the manufacturing employment share of about 0.6 percentage points. Donoso, Martín and Minondo (2014) also identify large negative effects in their analysis of regional labor markets in Spain, finding that a 1,000 USD increase in imports from China per worker reduces the share of manufacturing em-ployment in the working-age population by 1.3 percentage points. This is about twice the impact identified by ADH for the US.…”

Trade Competition and Migration: Evidence from the Quartz Crisis

“…Studies of the impact of rising trade with China have found that it resulted in substantial employment dislocations in Germany (Dauth et al 2014), Spain (Donoso et al 2015), the U.S. (Autor et al 2013), and Norway (Balsvik et al 2015), however, none of these studies found a sizable mobility response. A recent reanalysis of the China shock in the U.S. by Greenland et al (2019) did find that growth patterns shifted towards less import-exposed areas, but that this was not associated with a sizable absolute population loss.…”

“…All of this research focuses on import competition, which negatively impacts those affected by greater foreign competition, 1 Balsvik, Jensen and Salvanes (2015) find similar results when analyzing the China shock in Norway: A substantial impact on unemployment and labor force participation, but little mobility response. Donoso, Martín and Minondo (2015) likewise find little mobility response in Spain, as manufacturing workers displaced by import competition from China were generally absorbed into non-manufacturing industries, resulting in little impact on unemployment or labor force participation. Dauth, Findeisen and Suedekum (2014) found that overall job losses in Germany due to Chinese import competition were substantial, but that they were offset by employment gains due to export-oriented industries aimed at China and Eastern Europe.…”