“…3 In this way, conditionals should be interpreted quite differently than generic statements, such as Smokers get lung cancer, which are typically interpreted as tolerating exceptions (see, e.g., Cimpian, Brandone, & Gelman, 2010;Leslie, Khemlani, & Glucksberg, 2011). 4 Arguably, this phrase, if p then probably q, can refer to cases in which the conditional probability of q, given p, is less than 1, as well as cases where it is equal to 1.…”