2018
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-018-06525-2
|View full text |Cite
|
Sign up to set email alerts
|

Diverging importance of drought stress for maize and winter wheat in Europe

Abstract: Understanding the drivers of yield levels under climate change is required to support adaptation planning and respond to changing production risks. This study uses an ensemble of crop models applied on a spatial grid to quantify the contributions of various climatic drivers to past yield variability in grain maize and winter wheat of European cropping systems (1984–2009) and drivers of climate change impacts to 2050. Results reveal that for the current genotypes and mix of irrigated and rainfed production, cli… Show more

Help me understand this report

Search citation statements

Order By: Relevance

Paper Sections

Select...
2
2
1

Citation Types

10
143
0
1

Year Published

2019
2019
2023
2023

Publication Types

Select...
7
1
1

Relationship

1
8

Authors

Journals

citations
Cited by 275 publications
(176 citation statements)
references
References 73 publications
10
143
0
1
Order By: Relevance
“…Negative effects of the projected increase in extremes might be only partially limited by shorter phenological cycles, new varieties, and fertilization effects of increased atmospheric CO 2 concentration (Challinor et al, ; Kimball, ; Obermeier et al, ; Parkes et al, ; Rezaei, Siebert, Hüging, et al, ; Trnka et al, ). Crops, such as maize, could be more affected by projected increases in severe drought events (Webber et al, ; Zampieri et al, ), and as seen in 2018, the livestock sector will also be negatively impacted due to the lack of fodder crops. Besides the local impacts, it will be important to define strategies to limit the propagating effects of economic shocks induced by these extremes at the European level.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…Negative effects of the projected increase in extremes might be only partially limited by shorter phenological cycles, new varieties, and fertilization effects of increased atmospheric CO 2 concentration (Challinor et al, ; Kimball, ; Obermeier et al, ; Parkes et al, ; Rezaei, Siebert, Hüging, et al, ; Trnka et al, ). Crops, such as maize, could be more affected by projected increases in severe drought events (Webber et al, ; Zampieri et al, ), and as seen in 2018, the livestock sector will also be negatively impacted due to the lack of fodder crops. Besides the local impacts, it will be important to define strategies to limit the propagating effects of economic shocks induced by these extremes at the European level.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Climate change poses particular challenges for agricultural production systems as plant growth is affected by climate conditions (e.g., Gray & Brady, 2016;Lobell & Gourdji, 2012;Porter & Semenov, 2005). Rising temperatures, changes in precipitation regimes, and increasing frequency, duration, and intensity of extreme events negatively affect crop yields and fodder production (e.g., Asseng et al, 2014;Toreti, Bassu, et al, 2019;Webber et al, 2018;Zhao et al, 2017). The adverse impacts of climate extremes on the main crops in the last decades have been addressed in numerous studies (e.g., Deryng et al, 2014;Fontana et al, 2015;Lesk et al, 2016;Rezaei, Siebert, Manderscheid, et al, 2018;Zampieri et al, 2017).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The world population will reach to about 10 billion in 2050, setting a food security for feeding (https://population.un.org/wpp/). However, environmental stresses, particularly drought, negatively affect plant growth and productivity worldwide, caused significant yield losses of crops, including maize (Gong et al 2014;Hossain et al 2015;Webber et al 2018). To cope with environmental stimuli, plants activate multiple adaptive mechanisms from plant growth and development to stress responses (Mochida et al 2015).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…However, this is not the case for the Pannonian agro-climate zone, where a doubling of the share of area affected by heat stress is observed despite earlier flowering occurrence. Indeed, wheat grown in this agro-climate zone is more sensitive to heat stress during the flowering and grain filling than in other regions of Europe Webber et al, 2018). Furthermore, together with the increased area affected, the crop model simulations also indicate shorter periods of flowering time.…”
Section: 1029/2019ef001178mentioning
confidence: 92%