Divergent urban land trajectories under alternative population projections within the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways
Ryan A McManamay,
Alen Raad,
Chris R Vernon
et al.
Abstract:Population change is a main driver behind global environmental change, including urban land expansion. In future scenario modeling, assumptions regarding how populations will change locally, despite identical global constraints of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), can have dramatic effects on subsequent regional urbanization. Using a spatial modeling experiment at high resolution (1-km), this study compared how two alternative US population projections, varying in the spatially explicit nature of demograph… Show more
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