To extend the usefulness of a soil‐moisture prediction method, solar radiation, temperature, and other environmental factors were studied in relation to moisture loss in the surface 12 inches of soil. Data were obtained in an upland meadow on loessial soil near Vicksburg, Mississippi. Comparisons were made only for drying periods, and only when soil moisture was in the wetter half of its range.
Highest correlations of single factors with moisture loss were obtained with soil temperature and evaporation‐pan data (r = 0.79 each), and with solar radiation (r = 0.76). Values for air temperature, vapor pressure deficit, humidity, and wind were progressively lower. Correlations with soil temperature or evaporation‐pan data were somewhat improved by the addition of other factors in combination. Highest correlation was obtained with a site‐derived depletion curve (r = 0.85) from the previous year.