Disaster Impact and Input–output Analysis

Okuyama, Yasuhide; Santos, Joost R.

doi:10.1080/09535314.2013.871505

Cited by 202 publications

(126 citation statements)

References 37 publications

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“…These wider economic impacts are caused by a series of indirect effects that originate from the direct destruction of production capacity, infrastructure and labour supply in the region at hand. These direct effects, essentially, represent damages to stocks, including human capital, whereas the indirect effects, essentially, represent damages to flows of production and consumption (see Okuyama and Santos, 2014).…”

Section: An Overview Of the Wider Economic Impacts Of Disastersmentioning

confidence: 99%

On the limited usability of the inoperability IO model

Oosterhaven

2017

Economic Systems Research

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This note shows that the inoperability input-output model (IIM) estimates only a part of mainly the negative indirect economic impacts of disasters, whereas it neglects most of the positive indirect impacts. This means that the IIM is not suited to prioritize industries for policy interventions that aim at reducing the negative impacts of such disasters. Besides, this note shows that the application of the IIM is problematic and tends to overestimate the subset of impacts that the model is able to quantify. Finally, we identify two approaches that much better capture the variety of different disaster impacts. ARTICLE HISTORY

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Section: An Overview Of the Wider Economic Impacts Of Disastersmentioning

confidence: 99%

On the limited usability of the inoperability IO model

Oosterhaven

2017

Economic Systems Research

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“…These models make use of the Leontief inverse matrix, assessing the failure level of subsystems for the failure of one subsystem from the perspective of resilience, such as internal system consumption decrease [39], supply price change [40], as well as topology changes by external disasters [41] and so on. References [42], [43] assess interdependences from reliability and inoperability.…”

Section: Overseas Study Trendsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Framework and Research Progress of Generation Energy Integrated Transport System Planning Methods in China

Wu¹,

Yuan²,

Song-xu³

2017

JOCET

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Abstract-Energy issues are the focus of national attention, integrated transport system of energy for generation is key to modern "Energy Internet". In this paper, the planning methods framework of integrated transport system of energy for generation is discussed, on the basis of integrated transport system. The framework is divided into five modules, including transport demand forecast, comparison among modes of transport, transportation pattern construction, evaluation of social benefits and transport coordination evaluation. Under the framework proposed, an overview of the planning methods used in China is presented. Finally, research prospect of planning method for integrated transport system of energy for generation is pointed out.Index Terms-Energy for generation, integrated transport system, planning method.

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“…Over the past two decades the use of input-output (IO) models for the assessment of the indirect economic losses caused by manmade or natural disasters gained increasing popularity, as evidenced by two special issues of Economic Systems Research and several dozen papers in scientific journals (cf. Okuyama & Santos, 2014). Of these IO applications, the inoperability IO model (IIM; Santos & Haimes, 2004) constitutes the single most used model.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Wider economic impacts of heavy flooding in Germany: a non-linear programming approach

Oosterhaven

Többen

2017

Spatial Economic Analysis

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Wider economic impacts of heavy flooding in Germany: a non-linear programming approach. Spatial Economic Analysis. This paper further develops a new methodology to estimate the wider, indirect impacts of major disasters, and applies it to the 2013 heavy flooding of southern and eastern Germany. We model the attempts of economic actors to continue their usual activities, as closely as possible, by minimizing the information gain between the pre-and post-disaster pattern of economic transactions of the economy at hand. Findings show that government support of local final demand substantially reduces the indirect losses of the floods, while having a disaster at the top of the business cycle increases them. Moreover, we find that assuming fixed trade origin shares and fixed industry market shares, as in all multiregional inputoutput models, leads to implausibly large estimates of the indirect losses. aux graves inondations survenues en Allemagne méridionale et orientale, en 2013. Nous modélisons les tentatives, par des acteurs économiques, de poursuivre, le plus possible, leurs activités normales en minimisant les gains d'informations du modèle de transactions économiques de l'économie présente entre la période précédent la catastrophe et celle qui lui fait suite. Les résultats montrent que l'assistance du gouvernement à la demande finale locale réduit dans une grande mesure les pertes indirectes dues aux inondations, alors qu'en plaçant une catastrophe en haut du cycle des affaires, on les augmente. Nous notons également que l'hypothèse de parts fixes de l'origine des échanges et de parts fixes du secteur industriel, comme dans tous les modèles d'entrée / sortie plurirégionaux, donne lieu à des estimations anormalement élevées des pertes indirectes. KEYWORDS MOTS CLÉSanalyse des désastres; commerce inter-régional; tableau offre -utilisation plurirégional; gains d'informations RESUMEN Repercusiones económicas más amplias por las fuertes inundaciones en Alemania: un enfoque de programación no lineal. Spatial Economic Analysis. En este artículo seguimos desarrollando una nueva metodología para calcular las repercusiones amplias e indirectas de desastres importantes que ponemos en práctica con la fuerte inundación de 2013 del sur y el este de Alemania. Modelamos, lo más cerca posible, los intentos de los actores económicos de continuar sus actividades habituales, por lo que minimizamos la ganancia de información entre el patrón antes y después de la catástrofe de las transacciones económicas de la economía a mano. Los resultados muestran que el apoyo gubernamental a la demanda final de ámbito local reduce considerablemente las pérdidas indirectas causadas por las inundaciones, mientras que sufrir una catástrofe en la cima del ciclo comercial las aumenta. Además, observamos que si suponemos cuotas fijas de origen comercial y cuotas fijas de mercado de la industria, al igual que en todos los modelos de entradas y salidas multirregionales, llegamos a estimaciones absurdamente grandes de las pérdidas indirectas. PA...

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Disaster Impact and Input–output Analysis

Cited by 202 publications

References 37 publications

On the limited usability of the inoperability IO model

On the limited usability of the inoperability IO model

Framework and Research Progress of Generation Energy Integrated Transport System Planning Methods in China

Wider economic impacts of heavy flooding in Germany: a non-linear programming approach

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