Digital Transformation of Hungary’s Economy between 2015 and 2021: Results and Future Objectives

Abstract

Hungary is a member of the European Union (E.U.), so more than three-quarters of its trade relations are with the E.U. Hungary’s strategic objective is to be among the top-ten E.U. member states in digitalization by 2030. This study aims to examine the country’s digitization development and planned digitization programs and, based on these, to predict Hungary’s expected digitization status. This study also attempts to answer whether Hungary is among the ten most digitally developed E.U. member states. We use the K-means clustering method to assess the current state of digitization and different generic methods to determine future development. The results show that Hungary’s digital development is close to the middle level of the E.U. However, future digital development in Hungary will be more dynamic than in the European Union. This more dynamic Hungarian growth is predicted to catch up with the average of the E.U.’s digital development. However, the results of the extrapolation calculations show that the Hungarian goal of Hungary being among the ten most developed digital countries in the E.U. by 2030 is unrealistic.