Die Osterweiterung der EU aus der Sicht bestehender Mitgliedsländer: Was lehrt uns die Theorie der ökonomischen Integration?

Abstract

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Eastern Enlargement of the EU: Jobs, Investment and Welfare in Present Member Countries

“…Then country j's unskilled labor force is calculated as L j × (S G /S j )/u G , where u G is the the ratio of unskilled labor in the calibrated German CGE model. 35 The resulting rate of increase in the German labor force is 6.15 percent for unskilled and 0.84 percent of skilled labor, respectively. Trade shares: Country-specific measures of the size of the "shock" from commodity market integration (corresponding to scenario I in table 1, and column 1 in table 2); see text for more details.…”

“…On the import side, the variation is similar, ranging from 0.16 percent for Ireland to 2.71 percent for Austria which is almost 4 times the EU-value. The difference between EU15-countries in terms of these trade shares seems to persist as the level of east-west trade increases through time [see Kohler (2000b)]. …”

Eastern Enlargement of the EU: Jobs, Investment and Welfare in Present Member Countries

“…On the import side, the variation is similar, ranging from 0.16 percent for Ireland to 2.71 percent for Austria which is almost 4 times the EU-value. The difference between EU15countries in terms of these trade shares seems to persist as the level of east-west trade increases through time [see Kohler (2000b)].…”

The Political Economy of EU Enlargement and the Treaty of Nice

“…The analysis of BOFINGER (1995) is largely restricted to the interests of trade related lobbies. KOHLER (2000) looks at the interests of EU-15 countries in regard to enlargement but largely abstracts from personal interests of decisive actors in EU institutions.…”