Aims
Wearable devices are transforming the ECG into a ubiquitous medical test. This study assesses the association between premature ventricular and atrial contractions (PVCs and PACs) detected on wearable-format ECGs (15-second single-lead) and cardiovascular outcomes in individuals without cardiovascular disease (CVD).
Methods and results
PACs and PVCs were identified in 15-second single-lead ECGs from N=54,016 UK Biobank participants (median age, interquartile range, age 58, 50-63 years, 54% female). Cox regression models adjusted for traditional risk factors were used to determine associations with atrial fibrillation (AF), heart failure (HF), myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, life-threatening ventricular arrhythmias (LTVA), and mortality over a period of 11.5 (11.4-11.7) years. The strongest associations were found between PVCs (prevalence 2.2%) and HF (hazard ratio, HR, 95% confidence interval =1.88, 1.36-2.59) and between PACs (prevalence 1.9%) and AF (HR= 2.52, 2.11-3.01), with shorter prematurity further increasing risk. PVCs and PACs were also associated with LTVA (p<0.05). Associations with MI, stroke and mortality were only significant in unadjusted models. In a separate UK Biobank sub-study sample (UKB-2, N=29,324, age 64, 58-60 years, 54% female, follow-up 3.5 (2.6-4.8) years) used for independent validation, after adjusting for risk factors, PACs were associated with AF (HR= 1.80, 1.12-2.89), and PVCs with HF (HR= 2.32, 1.28-4.22).
Conclusion
In middle-aged individuals without CVD, premature contractions identified in 15-second single-lead ECGs are strongly associated with increased risk of AF and HF. These data warrant further investigation to assess the role of wearable ECGs for early cardiovascular risk stratification.