This paper presents results from the application of a comprehensive socio-economic and demographic model system performed in conjunction with the development of a continuous time activity-based microsimulation model of travel demand for the Southern California Association of Governments. The socio-economic model system includes two major components. The first is a synthetic population generator that is capable of synthesizing a representative population for the entire region while controlling for both household and person level marginal distributions. The second is an econometric microsimulator that models various socio-economic and demographic attributes for each person in the synthetic population with a view to develop a rich set of input data for the activity-based microsimulation model system. The results show that the socio-economic model system is capable of replicating known distributions of demographic attributes in the population and can be easily scaled for implementation in large regions such as the Southern California area that includes a population of more than 18 million people in its model boundaries.Keywords: planning applications, model applications, socio-economic model system, synthetic population generation, activity model development, model validation and demonstration Pendyala, Bhat, Goulias, Paleti, Konduri, Sidharthan, Hu, Huang, and Christian 3 3
INTRODUCTIONPlanning agencies are increasingly moving towards the development and deployment of tourbased and activity-based microsimulation models of travel demand as the complexity of transportation planning questions they must address becomes greater (1). Activity-based microsimulation model systems are capable of simulating the activity-travel patterns of each individual in a region's population, essentially replicating a day in the life of a human. The model systems include a series of submodels or components that are sensitive to a host of socioeconomic, land use, accessibility, and cost variables, thus providing the ability to assess the impacts of a wide range of travel demand management strategies and land use policies (2). The Southern California Association of Governments (SCAG) embarked on a multi-year effort to develop a comprehensive continuous-time activity-based microsimulation model system so that impacts of alternative policy and land use scenarios could be accurately assessed in response to the mandates of California Senate Bill 375 (3).The Comprehensive Econometric Microsimulator of Daily Activity Patterns (CEMDAP) serves as the core engine of the activity-based model system being implemented in SCAG (4). The overall model system, dubbed SimAGENT (Simulator of Activities, Greenhouse Emissions, Networks, and Travel), includes CEMDAP tied together with a series of additional model components needed to generate inputs for CEMDAP as well as process outputs from CEMDAP (5). The key model components that provide inputs to CEMDAP constitute the focus of this paper.Virtually all activity-based travel microsimulation model sy...