Development of Fragility Functions for Embankment Slopes on Liquefiable Soils

Abstract

In seismically active regions, high-filled embankment slopes on liquefiable soils tend to damage after strong earthquakes. Therefore, post-seismic damages should be estimated as soon as possible to mitigate potential losses. Fragility function is an efficient tool for assessing the seismic vulnerability conditions of structures, which links the probability of exceeding different limit states to seismic intensity. An embankment slope on liquefiable soils at Yading Airport in China was selected as the study object, and a series of numerical analyses of the embankment-foundation system utilizing the finite element method were conducted. Advanced dynamic constitutive models considering liquefaction and hysteresis characteristics were also adopted to simulate the nonlinear stress–strain behavior of soils under cyclic loadings. The post-seismic stability of embankment slopes was assessed using the strength reduction method (SRM) based on the stress–strain analysis. On this basis, the permanent ground deformation (PGD) at the ground-free field conditions was selected as the intensity measure (IM), while the factor of safety (FoS) of the slopes was selected as the damage measure (DM). Then, a procedure was presented for deriving seismic fragility functions with different damage states in light of incremental dynamic analysis (IDA). This paper aims to investigate the effects of different embankment typologies, such as the thickness of liquefiable soils and slope inclination, on the post-seismic vulnerability of embankment slopes. The fragility curves constructed in this study may soon be helpful for predicting the post-seismic damage of similar high-filled embankment slopes on liquefiable soils, which enables efficient traffic control and rapid disaster response.