Abstract. While substantial progress has been made to improve our
understanding of biogenic isoprene emissions under unstressed conditions,
large uncertainties remain with respect to isoprene emissions under stressed
conditions. Here, we use the US Drought Monitor (USDM) as a weekly drought
severity index and tropospheric columns of formaldehyde (HCHO), the key
product of isoprene oxidation, retrieved from the Ozone Monitoring
Instrument (OMI) to derive top-down constraints on the response of
summertime isoprene emissions to drought stress in the southeastern United States (SE
US), a region of high isoprene emissions that is also prone to drought. OMI HCHO
column density is found to be 6.7 % (mild drought) to 23.3 % (severe
drought) higher than that under non-drought conditions. A global chemical
transport model, GEOS-Chem, with version 2.1 of the Model of
Emissions of Gases and Aerosols from Nature (MEGAN2.1) emission algorithm can
simulate this direction of change, but the simulated increases at the
corresponding drought levels are 1.1–1.5 times that of OMI HCHO, suggesting the
need for a drought-stress algorithm in the model. By minimizing the
model–OMI differences in HCHO to temperature sensitivity under different
drought levels, we derived a top-down drought stress factor (γd_OMI) in GEOS-Chem that parameterizes using water
stress and temperature. The algorithm led to an 8.6 % (mild drought) to 20.7 % (severe drought) reduction in isoprene emissions in the SE US
relative to the simulation without it. With γd_OMI the model predicts a nonlinear increasing trend in isoprene emissions
with drought severity that is consistent with OMI HCHO and a single site's
isoprene flux measurements. Compared with a previous drought stress
algorithm derived from the latter, the satellite-based drought stress factor
performs better with respect to capturing the regional-scale drought–isoprene responses,
as indicated by the near-zero mean bias between OMI and simulated HCHO
columns under different drought conditions. The drought stress algorithm
also reduces the model's high bias in organic aerosol (OA) simulations by
6.60 % (mild drought) to 11.71 % (severe drought) over the SE US
compared to the no-stress simulation. The simulated ozone response to the
drought stress factor displays a spatial disparity due to the isoprene-suppressing effect on oxidants, with an <1 ppb increase in O3
in high-isoprene regions and a 1–3 ppbv decrease in O3 in low-isoprene
regions. This study demonstrates the unique value of exploiting long-term
satellite observations to develop empirical stress algorithms on biogenic
emissions where in situ flux measurements are limited.