Development of a cyber-physical model for the movement of surface and ground waters during a flood in Arctic conditions

Abstract

The development of physical models that take into account the combined influence of the dynamics of surface and ground waters is an important task for solving the problem of flooding of settlements during floods. These models allow improving the accuracy of modeling considering more complex physical processes, adapting to changing climatic conditions and integrating with other control systems. This paper explores the use of cyber-physical methods for modeling the flood zones of settlements during floods. The MODFLOW software product was used to simulate the flood zones of settlements. The developed model makes it possible to analyze hydrological processes, including groundwater dynamics and interaction with surface water bodies. Neural network models have also been developed and tested that use geographic, meteorological, hydrological, and structure and infrastructure data to predict the boundaries of flood zones.