Development and Assessment of Seasonal Rainfall Forecasting Models for the Bani and the Senegal Basins by Identifying the Best Predictive Teleconnection
Abstract:The high variability of rainfall in the Sahel region causes droughts and floods that affect millions of people every year. Several rainfall forecasting models have been proposed, but the results still need to be improved. In this study, linear, polynomial, and exponential models are developed to forecast rainfall in the Bani and Senegal River basins. All three models use Atlantic sea surface temperature (SST). A fourth algorithm using stepwise regression was also developed for the precipitation estimates over … Show more
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