Determinants of the demand for maritime imports and exports

Coto-Millán, Pablo; Baños-Pino, José; Castro, José Villaverde

doi:10.1016/j.tre.2004.05.002

Cited by 33 publications

(28 citation statements)

References 19 publications

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“…macroeconomic (Oum et al 1990;Bougheas et al 1999;Zhao, Kockelman 2004;Marzano, Papola 2008); -partial share models (Wilson 1974;Coto-Millán et al 2005;Russo, Assumma 2007;Nuzzolo et al 2010;Bröcker et al 2011); -behavioural models that simulate mode and route choice (Winston 1983;Vieira 1992;Nuzzolo, Russo 1997;García-Menéndez et al 2004;De Jong, Ben-Akiva 2007;Quattrone, Vitetta 2008;Kepaptsoglou et al 2009;Russo et al 2009;Rich et al 2011;Yang et al 2011). Within this general modelling framework, this paper proposes a system of models that aims at reducing the complexity of the macro-economic models and allows us a first estimation of import and export freight in terms of quantity, characterised by transport mode, too.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

An Aggregate Transport Demand Model for Import and Export Flow Simulation

2013

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Abstract. This paper presents a system of models for the estimation of international (import/export) freight flows through a partial share approach. It allows us to simulate attraction, production, distribution and modal split for the estimation of modal Origin-Destination matrices in quantities. Aiming at predicting long term effects for strategic planning, the modelling system has been specified through easy-to-capture variables represented by level-of-service attributes and aggregate socio-economic variables. The calibration was carried out by using a set of available data in Italy that allowed us to consider import/export flows for different freight types given by the aggregation of classes provided by European NST/R classifications.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

An Aggregate Transport Demand Model for Import and Export Flow Simulation

2013

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“…This investigation is a continuation of that of Coto-Millán et al (2005), but with some important innovations. Firstly, maritime transport is considered in terms of its most characteristic types of goods, based on the main port statistics.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 89%

“…In other words, we present here models of demand for maritime imports and exports of general cargo, solid bulk, liquid bulk and containers. In Coto-Millán et al (2005), the analysis referred only to general cargo. Moreover, the time period of the CotoMillán et al (2005) study was from 1975.I to 1993.IV, the reason for this being that this period marked the start of the oil crisis, which ushered in a structural change in international trade.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Determinants of the Demand of International Maritime Transport

Coto-Millán

Baños-Pino

Pesquera

et al. 2010

Contributions to Economics

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This paper analyses the behaviour of the functions of importing and exporting goods by maritime transport mode in Spain during the period 1994. I-1998. IV Cointegration techniques are used in the estimations to obtain longterm price and income elasticities. These estimations can be used to assess the effects of price modifications in the volume of imports and exports and, hence, to carry out forecasts on international trade and maritime transport.

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“…Coto-Millàn et al [8], for example, present a theoretical explicative model and provide empirical evidence to the determinant variables, which explain the behaviour of maritime imports and exports for a particular case (the Spanish economy). The complexity resides in the specification of a coherent and coordinated system of models, that includes the well-know sequence of generation, distribution, modal split and path choice, to which the departure time and terminal choices have to be added to simulate some of the crucial patterns of international freight transport.…”

Section: State-of-the-artmentioning

confidence: 99%

A demand model for international freight transport by road

Nuzzolo

Crisalli

Comi

2008

Eur. Transp. Res. Rev.

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This paper presents a system of models for the estimation of road international (import/export) freight flows by using a partial share approach. It allows to simulate generation (for export), attraction (for import) and distribution steps for the estimation of freight flows in quantities (commodity approach), from which the conversion in vehicles is made by using vehicle loading models. This modelling system has been specified according to an easy-to-use philosophy (suitable to be used for forecasting) by using aggregate variables, such as GDP. The calibration has been carried out by using a set of available data in Italy that allowed us to consider import/export flows by road for three different freight types (perishable, industrial and consumption goods).

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Determinants of the demand for maritime imports and exports

Cited by 33 publications

References 19 publications

An Aggregate Transport Demand Model for Import and Export Flow Simulation

An Aggregate Transport Demand Model for Import and Export Flow Simulation

Determinants of the Demand of International Maritime Transport

A demand model for international freight transport by road

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