Determinants of postoperative atrial fibrillation: A retrospective evaluation of postoperative atrial fibrillation in cardiac surgery

Abstract

Atrial fibrillation is the most common postoperative arrhythmia and is associated with increased length of stay, cost, morbidity and mortality. The incidence of postoperative atrial fibrillation for noncardiac, nonthoracic surgeries ranges from 0.4% to 26%. The incidence increases to 20%–50% in cardiac surgery, occurring in approximately 30% of isolated coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG), approximately 40% of isolated valve surgeries and up to 50% of CABG plus valve surgeries. Our aim was to identify risk factors that may predispose patients to postoperative atrial fibrillation and compare the efficacy of previously developed prediction tools to a new bedside prediction tool. We sought to develop a bedside screening tool using 4 easily identifiable variables: body mass index, age, congestive heart failure and hypertension (BACH). We predicted that our model would compare similarly to previously developed and validated prediction models but would be easier to use.