Abstract:We use inventory write‐downs to differentiate opportunistic and non‐opportunistic overproduction measures. We posit that non‐opportunistic overproduction is positively associated with future write‐downs because overproduction generally leads to excess inventory, while opportunistic overproduction (to inflate earnings) is negatively associated with write‐downs because write‐downs decrease earnings. We find that change‐based proxies (deviations from past behaviour) are positively associated with the likelihood o… Show more
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