2756S troke is the second leading cause of death worldwide and a major cause of severely impaired quality of life.1,2 During the past decade, increasing evidence has shown that the presence of markers of subclinical small vessel disease (SVD), including white matter lesions and lacunar infarcts, greatly increases the risk of subsequent stroke. [3][4][5][6] Yet, it is important to consider that white matter lesions and lacunar infarcts already represent a relatively advanced state of subclinical vascular brain disease. Consequently, there has been an increasing emphasis on the identification of markers that represent even earlier stages of vascular brain disease. In this respect, white matter microstructure, as assessed with diffusion tensor imaging (DTI), has received increasing interest. Changes in white matter microstructural integrity of normal-appearing white matter (NAWM) have been shown to precede irreversible white matter lesions 7,8 and to be associated with the presence of lacunar infarcts. 9 However, similar changes also occur in normal aging and a range of other neurological conditions, so are not specific for subclinical vascular disease. Therefore, it is unclear whether more extensive microstructural evaluation would have any role in the prediction of stroke. We hypothesize that white matter microstructural changes are associated with Background and Purpose-The presence of subclinical vascular brain disease, including white matter lesions and lacunar infarcts, substantially increases the risk of clinical stroke. White matter microstructural integrity is considered an earlier, potentially better, marker of the total burden of vascular brain disease. Its association with risk of stroke, a focal event, remains unknown. Methods-From the population-based Rotterdam Study, 4259 stroke-free participants (mean age: 63.6 years, 55.6% women) underwent brain magnetic resonance imaging, including diffusion magnetic resonance imaging, between 2006 and 2011. All participants were followed up for incident stroke until 2013. Cox proportional hazards models were used to associate markers of the microstructure of normal-appearing white matter with risk of stroke, adjusting for age, sex, white matter lesion volume, lacunar infarcts, and additionally for cardiovascular risk factors. Finally, we assessed the predictive value of white matter microstructural integrity for stroke beyond the Framingham Stroke Risk Profile. We, therefore, investigated, in the population-based setting of the Rotterdam Study, the association between markers of white matter microstructural integrity and the risk of stroke. In addition, we studied the predictive value of these markers for stroke beyond the Framingham Stroke Risk Profile.
Results-During
Methods
SettingThe Rotterdam Study is a prospective population-based cohort that started in 1990 and includes 14 926 participants, aged ≥45 years and living in Ommoord, a suburb of Rotterdam.10 At study entry and at each follow-up visit (every 3-4 years), all study participants undergo extensive ex...