Desertification in the Sahel Region: A Product of Climate Change or Human Activities? A Case of Desert Encroachment Monitoring in North-Eastern Nigeria Using Remote Sensing Techniques

Abstract

Desertification has become one of the most pronounced ecological disasters, affecting arid and semi-arid areas of Nigeria. This phenomenon is more pronounced in the northern region, particularly the eleven frontline states of Nigeria, sharing borders with the Niger Republic. This has been attributed to a range of natural and anthropogenic factors. Rampant felling of trees for fuelwood, unsustainable agriculture, overgrazing, coupled with unfavourable climatic conditions are among the key factors that aggravate the desertification phenomenon. This study applied geospatial analysis to explore land use/land cover changes and detect major conversions from ecologically active land covers to sand dunes. Results indicate that areas covered by sand dunes (a major indicator of desertification) have doubled over the 25 years under consideration (1990 to 2015). Even though 0.71 km2 of dunes was converted to vegetation, indicative of the success of various international, national, local and individual afforestation efforts, conversely about 10.1 km2 of vegetation were converted to sand dunes, implying around 14 times more deforestation compared to afforestation. On average, our results revealed that the sand dune in the study area is progressing at a mean annual rate of 15.2 km2 annually. The land cover conversion within the 25-year study period was from vegetated land to farmlands. Comparing the progression of a sand dune with climate records of the study area and examining the relationship between indicators of climate change and desertification suggested a mismatch between both processes, as increasing rainfall and lower temperatures observed in 1994, 2005, 2012, and 2014 did not translate into positive feedbacks for desertification in the study area. Likewise, the mean annual Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) from 2000 to 2015 shows a deviation between vegetation peaks, mean temperatures and rainfall. On average, our results reveal that the sand dune is progressing at a mean annual rate of about 15.2 km2 in the study area. Based on this study’s land cover change, trend and conversion assessment, visual reconciliation of climate records of land cover data, statistical analysis, observations from ground-truthing, as well as previous literature, it can be inferred that desertification in Nigeria is less a function of climate change, but more a product of human activities driven by poverty, population growth and failed government policies. Further projections by this study also reveal a high probability of more farmlands being converted to sand dunes by the years 2030 and 2045 if current practices prevail.

Application of IUCN Red List Criteria for Assessment of Some Savanna Trees of Nigeria, West Africa

“…The savanna vegetation of northern Nigeria is depauperate compared to the original forested vegetation of the southern part of the country because most areas in the NSZ are arid or semiarid (Sawa, et al 2015) or facing desertification and drought (Fabeku andFaleyimu 2017, Chukwudi andAdebowale 2018;Adejuwon and Olaniyan 2019;Ibrahim et al 2022). As a result of anthropogenic destruction, nearly all ancestral vegetation types in the NSZ have been cleared and modified, while rejuvenation is unlikely due to increasing adverse climatic conditions.…”

Assessment of the extent of desertification in Gamawa LGA of Bauchi State using remote sensing and GIS techniques

“…Ibrahim et al, (2022),Aliero and Ismail, (2016) that highlight human activities as major contributors to desertification. Decreasing Cropland: The decrease in cropland area (5.10%) suggests a decline in agricultural land.…”