Derivation and Validation of Generalized Sepsis-induced Acute Respiratory Failure Phenotypes Among Critically Ill Patients: A Retrospective Study

Abstract

Background: Septic patients who develop acute respiratory failure (ARF) requiring mechanical ventilation represent a heterogenous subgroup of critically ill patients with widely variable clinical characteristics. Identifying distinct phenotypes of these patients may reveal insights about the broader heterogeneity in the clinical course of sepsis. We aimed to derive novel phenotypes of sepsis-induced ARF using observational clinical data and investigate their generalizability across multi-ICU specialties, considering multi-organ dynamics. Methods: We performed a multi-center retrospective study of ICU patients with sepsis who required mechanical ventilation for ≥24 hours. Data from two different high-volume academic hospital systems were used as a derivation set with N=3,225 medical ICU (MICU) patients and a validation set with N=848 MICU patients. For the multi-ICU validation, we utilized retrospective data from two surgical ICUs at the same hospitals (N=1,577). Clinical data from 24 hours preceding intubation was used to derive distinct phenotypes using an explainable machine learning-based clustering model interpreted by clinical experts. Results: Four distinct ARF phenotypes were identified: A (severe multi-organ dysfunction (MOD) with a high likelihood of kidney injury and heart failure), B (severe hypoxemic respiratory failure [median P/F=123]), C (mild hypoxia [median P/F=240]), and D (severe MOD with a high likelihood of hepatic injury, coagulopathy, and lactic acidosis). Patients in each phenotype showed differences in clinical course and mortality rates despite similarities in demographics and admission co-morbidities. The phenotypes were reproduced in external validation utilizing an external MICU from second hospital and SICUs from both centers. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed significant difference in 28-day mortality across the phenotypes (p<0.01) and consistent across both centers. The phenotypes demonstrated differences in treatment effects associated with high positive end-expiratory pressure (PEEP) strategy. Conclusion: The phenotypes demonstrated unique patterns of organ injury and differences in clinical outcomes, which may help inform future research and clinical trial design for tailored management strategies.