Demand Forecasting of Community Bus for Elderly People Considering Travel Frequency

Abstract

With China becoming one of the countries with the largest aging population in the world, the living conditions and problems for the elderly have become more and more serious. From the point of view of China's aging population background, a community-based home care model is proposed. Taking Wuhan city as an example, based on field investigation and statistical analysis, this paper analyzes the status and development trend of the elderly in Wuhan city and comes up with the weight of the factors related to the elderly staying intention. Based on that, this paper predicted the model for the elderly of each age period preferring community nursing homes. 1