Childhood undernutrition remains a major public health concern in developing countries, and has in the past been shown to contribute to ~50% of the nearly 10 million under-5 children years who die each year of preventable causes.[1] Although severe acute malnutrition (SAM) is seldom recognised, this condition remains an extremely widespread disorder associated with high rates of mortality and morbidity, and requires specialised treatment and interventions. [1] In an effort to reduce deaths from SAM and improve recovery, the World Health Organization (WHO) has developed a '10-step' guideline for managing SAM.[2] These guidelines have since been promoted as the standard treatment modality for clinical care of severely malnourished children. [3] There is evidence to show that if implemented correctly, the protocol can improve case fatality rates (CFRs) from ~40% to <10%, [4] even when applied in emergency humanitarian situations.[5] These guidelines have gained recognition worldwide and are now being used in most healthcare units, including some hospitals in South Africa (SA). [6] While numerous studies have established the adverse effects of HIV infection on the survival of children treated for SAM, [7][8][9] few have studied the independent effects of HIV clinical stage in particular, as well as disease severity at baseline and other critical comorbidities on admission. There is also limited or no evidence on the interactive effects of these clinical characteristics on increased mortality risk.This study was, in part, prompted by the lack of such evidence and the fact that in the study setting, the high CFRs for SAM were being attributed to HIV infection rather than to mismanagement of SAM children by healthcare workers. There was also some anecdotal evidence from clinicians in the same hospitals that, depending on the clinical stage of HIV infection, the WHO 10-step protocol may show no effect. This study therefore sought to establish whether there was (i) an independent effect of HIV infection, HIV clinical stage, baseline disease severity and other clinical factors on survival prospects of children admitted and treated for SAM using the WHO 10-step guidelines; and (ii) an added risk of death depending on the interaction of two or more of these baseline clinical characteristics.
Methods
Study settingThis study was conducted in two rural district hospitals located in the Eastern Cape Province of SA. The two hospitals were purposefully selected on the basis of being the only hospitals in the region that had shown optimal implementation of the WHO 10-step guidelines and had the basic resources to do so at the time.[10] Furthermore, the hospitals serve catchment areas where there is a high HIV prevalence. This increased the likelihood of enrolling enough HIVpositive children with SAM for the purposes of the study.Background. There is still limited to no evidence on the independent and interactive effects of HIV infection, disease stage, baseline disease severity and other important comorbidities on mortality risk a...