DeepResTrade: a peer-to-peer LSTM-decision tree-based price prediction and blockchain-enhanced trading system for renewable energy decentralized markets

Abstract

Intelligent predictive models are fundamental in peer-to-peer (P2P) energy trading as they properly estimate supply and demand variations and optimize energy distribution, and the other featured values, for participants in decentralized energy marketplaces. Consequently, DeepResTrade is a research work that presents an advanced model for predicting prices in a given traditional energy market. This model includes numerous fundamental components, including the concept of P2P trading systems, long-term and short-term memory (LSTM) networks, decision trees (DT), and Blockchain. DeepResTrade utilized a dataset with 70,084 data points, which included maximum/minimum capacities, as well as renewable generation, and price utilized of the communities. The developed model obtains a significant predictive performance of 0.000636% Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) and 0.000975% Root Mean Square Percentage Error (RMSPE). DeepResTrade’s performance is demonstrated by its RMSE of 0.016079 and MAE of 0.009125, indicating its capacity to reduce the difference between anticipated and actual prices. The model performs admirably in describing actual price variations in, as shown by a considerable R2 score of 0.999998. Furthermore, F1/recall scores of [1, 1, 1] with a precision of 1, all imply its accuracy.

Net saving improvement of capacitor banks in power distribution systems by increasing daily size switching number: A comparative result analysis by artificial intelligence

“…Consequently, the proposed model is formulated as [49] $$$$\begin{equation}{{\psi }_i} = {{[OI\,\,IL\,\,LC\,\,EL\,\,C]}_i}\end{equation}$$$$ $$$$\begin{equation}L = {{({{\psi }_i} - \gamma )}^2}\end{equation}$$$$in which F 0 , L , and $${{\psi }_i}$$ are the constant value of the prediction, loss function, and feature data. In terms of $$arg\ min$$, the optimization progress is expressed by $$$$\begin{eqnarray} && \frac{\partial }{{\partial \gamma }}\left( {\sum_{i = 1}^M {L({{\psi }_i},\gamma )} } \right) = \frac{\partial }{{\partial \gamma }}\left( {\sum_{i = 1}^M {{{{({{\psi }_i} - \gamma )}}^2}} } \right) = - 2\sum_{i = 1}^M {{{\psi }_i}}\nonumber\\ &&\quad + 2n\...$$…”

Blockchain Integration and Its Impact on Renewable Energy

“…Going beyond simple modeling, Safari et al [79] combined blockchain, P2P trading, LSTM networks, and decision trees to present an innovative predictive model for energy prices in decentralized marketplaces. This model-called DeepResTrade-shows impressive predictive accuracy when it comes to energy pricing.…”