Running titleAn investigation into the risk perceptions of UK property developers before and during specific office development projects; and their reliance upon a range of risk management techniques in connection with those projects.
Key WordsRisk, Risk management, Property development, Offices, Property company 2
Title The Perception and Management of Risk in UK Office
Property Development AbstractRisk is an ever-present aspect of business, and risk taking is necessary for profit and economic progress. Speculative property development is popularly perceived as a 'risky business' yet, like other entrepreneurs, developers have opportunities to manage the risks they face; techniques include phasing and joint ventures. The associated areas of investment portfolio risk, development risk analysis and construction risk management have all been addressed by research. This paper presents new knowledge about how developers perceive risks and the means they subsequently adopt to manage them.The developers of office projects across the United Kingdom were sent questionnaires by post. Respondents were asked about their perceptions of risks at the first appraisal stage and currently and about the risk management techniques they had adopted. In-depth interviews with a selection of respondents were then used to discuss and augment the findings.Developers were most concerned about market-based risks at both stages. Concern about production-orientated risks was lower and fell significantly between the two stages. A fixed price contract was the most common risk management technique. Risk management techniques were used more often outside London and the South East. Developer type affects both the perception and management of risk.While developers do manage risk, decisions are made on the basis of professional and business experience. These findings should help development companies manage risk in a more objective and analytical way.
3This paper reports research that aimed to discover how UK office property developers perceive the seriousness of the risks they face and the extent to which they employ risk response tactics. The first section covers theories of risk, distinguishing it from uncertainty and outlining an objective process of risk management. The second section discusses literature applying these concepts to speculative property development and associated fields.The methodology adopted, which had both quantitative and qualitative stages, is then outlined. The results of both stages are presented together firstly with developers' perceptions of various risks. Developers' responses to risk are analysed followed by a section covering regional differences. The limitations of the research are explained before a concluding section.
Uncertainty, risk and risk managementThis section will firstly address concepts of risk. Technically biased descriptions of risk focus on concern over hazards and the danger of negative impacts. 'Pure' risks, such as fire, can result in either a loss or no loss (Laster 2001, 20). A hazard has the p...