Objective
Clinical heterogeneity is a key challenge to understanding suicidal risk, as different pathways to suicidal behavior are likely to exist. We aimed to identify such pathways by uncovering latent classes of late-life depression cases and relating them to prior and future suicidal behavior.
Methods
Data was collected from 09/2011-09/2015. We examined distinct associations of clinical and cognitive/decision-making factors with suicidal behavior in 194 older (50+) non-demented, depressed, elderly; 57 non-psychiatric controls provided benchmark data. The DSM-IV was used to establish diagnostic criteria. We identified multivariate patterns of risk factors defining clusters based on personality traits, perceived social support, cognitive performance and decision-making in an analysis blind to participants' history of suicidal behavior. We validated these clusters using past and prospective suicidal ideation and behavior.
Results
Of five clusters identified, three were associated with high risk for suicidal behavior: (1) cognitive deficits, dysfunctional personality, low social support, high willingness to delay future rewards, overrepresentation of high-lethality attempters; (2) high-personality-pathology (i.e. low self-esteem), minimal or no cognitive deficits, overrepresentation of low-lethality attempters and ideators; (3)cognitive deficits and inability to delay future rewards, similar distribution of high- and low-lethality attempters. There were significant between-cluster differences in number (p<0.001) and lethality (p=0.002) of past suicide attempts, as well as in the likelihood of future suicide attempts (p=0.010, 30 attempts by 22 participants, two fatal) and emergency psychiatric hospitalizations to prevent suicide (p=0.005, 31 participants).
Conclusions
Three pathways to suicidal behavior in old age were found, marked by (1) very high levels of cognitive and dispositional risk factors suggesting a dementia prodrome, (2) dysfunctional personality traits, (3) impulsive decision-making and cognitive deficits.