Predicting asphaltene onset pressure (AOP) and bubble
point pressure
(Pb) is essential for optimization of gas injection for enhanced oil
recovery. Pressure-Volume-Temperature or PVT studies along with equations
of state (EoSs) are widely used to predict AOP and Pb. However, PVT
experiments are costly and time-consuming. The perturbed-chain statistical
associating fluid theory or PC-SAFT is a sophisticated EoS used for
prediction of the AOP and Pb. However, this method is computationally
complex and has high data requirements. Hence, developing precise
and reliable smart models for prediction of the AOP and Pb is inevitable.
In this paper, we used machine learning (ML) methods to develop predictive
tools for the estimation of the AOP and Pb using experimental data
(AOP data set: 170 samples; Pb data set: 146 samples). Extra trees
(ET), support vector machine (SVM), decision tree, and k-nearest neighbors
ML methods were used. Reservoir temperature, reservoir pressure, SARA
fraction, API gravity, gas–oil ratio, fluid molecular weight,
monophasic composition, and composition of gas injection are considered
as input data. The ET (
R
2
: 0.793, RMSE:
7.5) and the SVM models (
R
2
: 0.988, RMSE:
0.76) attained more reliable results for estimation of the AOP and
Pb, respectively. Generally, the accuracy of the PC-SAFT model is
higher than that of the AI/ML models. However, our results confirm
that the AI/ML approach is an acceptable alternative for the PC-SAFT
model when we face lack of data and/or complex mathematical equations.
The developed smart models are accurate and fast and produce reliable
results with lower data requirements.