2022
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-022-13030-6
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Daily and seasonal heat usage patterns analysis in heat networks

Abstract: Heat usage patterns, which are greatly affected by the users' behaviors, network performances, and control logic, are a crucial indicator of the effective and efficient management of district heating networks. The variations in the heat load can be daily or seasonal. The daily variations are primarily influenced by the customers' social behaviors, whereas the seasonal variations are mainly caused by the large temperature differences between the seasons over the year. Irregular heat load patterns can significan… Show more

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Cited by 3 publications
(2 citation statements)
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References 37 publications
(40 reference statements)
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“…The heat usage pattern analysis has become increasingly essential as the number of end-users increases, because it greatly impacts the entire network's efficiency. Variations in the heat usage behavior from the consumers' side lead to variations in the heat usage pattern of a single substation, which is a major matter for accurate and efficient DH management and operation 6 . For example, the substantial temperature difference between the summer and the winter significantly influences the users' heat demand.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…The heat usage pattern analysis has become increasingly essential as the number of end-users increases, because it greatly impacts the entire network's efficiency. Variations in the heat usage behavior from the consumers' side lead to variations in the heat usage pattern of a single substation, which is a major matter for accurate and efficient DH management and operation 6 . For example, the substantial temperature difference between the summer and the winter significantly influences the users' heat demand.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Despite the numerous issues addressed and methods discussed in existing literature on heat load prediction in DH networks, further research is needed to explore important external factors such as holiday and weather conditions, which could be utilized as input to improve the models' accuracy 6 . Additionally, while previous work has showed the high predictive performance of ML algorithms for heat demand, they have not provided a clear explanation of why the model achieved good performance, as well as which features are important and their correlation with the models 10 .…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%