Untitled

Abstract

A lot of disaster due to the storm surge caused by the typhoon 0416 and 0418 in Hyogo Prefecture occurred. It is difficult to prevent such large-scale disaster completely. We must devise preliminary countermeasures, such as closing the floodgates and various gates, to minimize the damage. Real-time prediction of the storm surge at each port and coast is necessary to recognize highest water level and maximum variation during the storm surge. The main purpose of this study is to develop the real-time prediction model of storm surge in Hyogo Prefecture that the port managers can handle smoothly.It was revealed that the real-time prediction model is useful and accurate by the verification of the model applied for the hind cast on the typhoons in 2004 and the forecast on the typhoon 0613.