“…Given new technologies that have enabled crowdsourcing and crowdsourced R&D usages in medical data collection (Adams, 2011;Armstrong, Harskamp, Cheeney, & Schupp, 2012;Prainsack & Wolinsky, 2010), interpretation (Foncubierta-Rodriguez & Müller, 2012;Yu, Willis, Sun, & Wang, 2013), problem solving (Sims, Bigham, Kautz, & Halterman, 2014), and medical disaster management (Zook, Graham, Shelton, & Gorman, 2012), human swarm theory is considered an important addition to the probabilistic innovation literature as it predicts an increasingly important analysis and decision-making role within the crowd itself and, therefore, synthesis of horizontal and vertical (see Figure 1 later in the paper) crowd engagement with real-time problem solving. If the solving of serious societal problems (such as Ebola, Zika, antibiotic resistance, cancer, diabetes, climate change, and chronic aging ailments) in hours or days instead of decades is to ultimately be realized, then the seminal knowledge aggregation problem (Hayek, 1945;Von Hippel, 1994) may require urgent attention, and it is argued probabilistic innovation offers insights toward this end.…”